Pete Carroll has said Tyler Lockett is going to be "in the middle" of everything the Seahawks do offensively. He and Russell Wilson struggled at times to get their timing down last year, but Lockett showed he can get open downfield on a consistent basis. And if the summer is any indication, Lockett will see plenty of opportunities in the short game on screens and other plays where he can pick up yards after the catch. That should translate to consistent touches on a weekly basis.
The Seahawks are not a high-volume passing offense, but 900 yards and eight touchdowns is a reasonable projection for Lockett, and he has upside.
As a rookie, Lockett owned the #5 fantasy points per target (FP/T) in standard formats (#3 in PPR), and he plays in a historically efficient passing offense. The only issue is volume. Lockett saw just 69 targets in 2015, but averaged 5.4 T/G (and 57.1 yards) over the final nine games of the season, including the playoffs. That’s an 86-target (and a 913-yard) pace, so if he’s able to maintain his 1.48 FP/T, it would yield 128 fantasy points, which is about what Rueben Randle scored as the #28 WR last year. If Lockett is going to crack the top 20, he’ll need to see 6.0+ T/G. The good news is that Wilson has increased his pass attempts in each of the last three seasons, and with Marshawn Lynch retired, it sounds as if there will be more opportunity in the passing game for Lockett.
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