2022 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Betting Card Preview

Feb 01, 2022

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The PGA Tour's California swing continues this week on the Monterey Peninsula for the three-course Pro-Am at Pebble Beach Golf Links. Similar to The American Express a few weeks ago, this is a 54-hole cut event, with each Pro-Am duo playing one round at Spyglass Hill (6,953 yards, Par-72, with Poa greens), Monterey Peninsula's Shore Course (6,958 yards, Par-71, with Poa greens) and the host course, Pebble Beach (7,051 yards, Par-72, with Poa greens), with the top 60 and ties moving on to Sunday's final round on the host course. They're small coastal courses where the degree of difficulty is dictated by the wind.

This is more descriptive than predictive, but it's worth noting that over the past decade or so, this event has been won exclusively by either top-of-the-board talent (Dustin Johnson, Jordan Spieth, Daniel Berger, etc) or the longest of long shots (Nick Taylor, Ted Potter Jr., Vaughn Taylor). Golfers priced at 30/1 to 100/1, a massive range, have been a money pit for outright tickets of late.

This is also a track where experience matters. Since 2000, every winner at this event recorded a T16 or better in one or more of their previous three starts here. With the Pro-Am element forcing a three-course rotation and slow rounds, this is not everyone's cup of tea, which is likely why just 10 of the world's top-50 golfers are here this week.

Past Winners at The Pebble Beach AT&T Pro-Am

2021: Daniel Berger (-18)
2020: Nick Taylor (-19)
2019: Phil Mickelson (-19)
2018: Ted Potter Jr. (-17)
2017: Jordan Spieth (-19)
2016: Vaughn Taylor (-17)

Handicapping early-season events when we have less relevant form data than we do in the spring and summer is a bit more of a feel thing than I'd like it to be. I'd prefer to lean on as much data as possible, but we're all in the same boat so let's work with what we have. For more course-specific data and event trends, please check out Ron Klos's tournament preview. It's the most comprehensive preview you'll find anywhere.

I've decided to change the format this year. There are so many ways to bet on this beautiful game, and I want to touch on all of them. Picking outright winners is fun, but must be done responsibly. Unit sizing is key, and I've shared my approach with our subscribers in the Discord chat. In this space, I want to touch on the players I'm targeting this week and share my opinion on the best way to bet them at this event.

Please take advantage of the Discord feature and community. It's the best way to get up-to-the-minute lines and advice. If you need help getting started, please reach out. Discord is where my full card will be posted, along with any live in-tournament bets.

Betting markets are fluid, but I'll note the best number available at the time of this writing.

*Betting lines accurate at the time of publication.