Daigle's Top 30 Fades in Fantasy Football Drafts

Aug 26, 2022

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These are the players I’m avoiding in 2022 fantasy football drafts at their Average Draft Position (ADP):

More Targets and Avoids from 4for4 Staff: John Paulsen's Targets & Avoids | TJ Hernandez's Targets |

1. Derrick Henry avoided any further surgery this offseason after returning from his mid-year Jones fracture for 20 carries and 3.1 yards per touch in Tennessee's Divisional Round loss. Currently being treated as a mid-first-round pick based solely on his 29.6 touches per game and position-high 23 fantasy points weekly before injury, the Big Dog arguably carries the lowest floor of his career behind Justin Edwards’ No. 21 offensive line for a team that went 6-2 in one-score contests (which tends to regress from year to year) and will likely be forced to rebuild in 2023. Albeit a landmine inside the top eight, Henry is a terrific value at any point beyond the first-round turn.

2. There is no worse first-round pick in 2022 than Najee Harris, who could only squeeze the eighth-most fantasy points per game out of 87% of Pittsburgh's backfield touches and 94 of the team’s 106 running back targets last year. We should also expect his 5.5 targets per game to plummet dramatically since 46% (43) of said opportunity was fed to him behind the line of scrimmage due to Ben Roethlisberger’s useless arm. With only 29 gains of 20-plus yards on 945 career carries dating back to college (including four on 307 carries last year), Harris does not have the explosive profile or surrounding environment of a player we should prioritize top-five at his position.