Fantasy Upside
Andrew Luck has plenty of options to throw to. Veteran receiver Reggie Wayne returns from injury, T.Y. Hilton has another season of progression, Dwayne Allen returns from injury, and the Colts added talented wideout Hakeem Nicks in free agency. If that wasn’t enough, they drafted Donte Moncrief in the third round.
Luck has already shown how great of a player he is in his first two seasons. In his first year he broke the rookie record for passing yards and last season he had an exceptional TD-INT ratio (23-9). He’s also dangerous with his feet, rushing for nine touchdowns in his first two years.
Fantasy Downside
Pep Hamilton is Luck’s downside. While the Colts passer did improve his overall quarterback rating last season, his numbers took a scary drop. He attempted 57 fewer passes and had 552 less passing yards in his second year compared to his rookie season.
Another cause for concern is the Colts’ offensive line. The line was already thin heading into training camp and now it’s about as thin as a Gillette razor. Luck is a talented player, but it’s hard for any quarterback to continually take a beating and still be successful.
Bottom Line
Luck enters this season with incredible upside. Hamilton’s system shouldn’t be too big of an issue. Reports say the Colts plan to air it out just as much as any other team in the league. The offensive line is a cause for concern, but Luck hasn’t really had the best of luck (sorry, I had to) with his o-line in the past and he’s still been successful.
If you take Luck in the draft you’re getting a true QB1. Last season he was able to make something out of nothing (aside from Hilton) and this season he’s got actual talent around him. He could finish as a top five quarterback this season.
