Fantasy Upside
Since 2000, 10 quarterbacks started at least 14 games in each of their first two seasons. On average, this group improved their per game fantasy output by 15.9% in their second season. Wentz averaged 13.1 fantasy points as a rookie, and a 15.9 percent improvement would put him squarely in the QB2 mix. The Eagles invested in the receiver position this offseason by signing Alshon Jeffery and Torrey Smith, with former first-round pick Nelson Agholor now expected to man the slot after the team traded Jordan Matthews to Buffalo. With Zach Ertz and Darren Sproles are also back in the passing attack, Wentz has no shortage of weapons to utilize in the passing game. 4for4's TJ Hernandez also notes the Eagles finished 19th in yards/drive—but it wasn’t nearly as bad as their 28th-placed ranking in QB fantasy points suggest. There could be some positive regression there.
Fantasy Downside
The Eagles were 16th in pass play percentage in their first season under Doug Pederson, and he may want that percentage to be even lower in 2017, considering he was 27th in pass play percentage in his final season in Kansas City (2016). Philadelphia also has the No. 1 toughest schedule in terms of our QB adjusted fantasy points allowed (aFPA) rankings.
2017 Bottom Line
The new weapons and a strong offensive line should help Wentz progress in his second year. In two-quarterback leagues, he should not be overlooked, but in one-quarterback leagues, he's likely just a bye-week replacement or streaming option.