Fantasy Upside
Nearly everyone had Chris Godwin as a breakout candidate heading into 2019, and he delivered. Godwin finished 86-1333-9 on 120 targets in 14 games played, finishing as the No. 2 WR (half-PPR). Godwin excelled in the slot as he was fifth in the league in picking up first downs last season. He was second (per PFF) in contested-catch percentage (66.67%), behind only Michael Thomas. Godwin is a high-powered offense, and his role shouldn’t change much from what we saw a year ago.
Fantasy Downside
There’s always a bit of worry when a team switches quarterbacks, even if it’s Tom Brady. The Buccaneers also added another receiving threat in Rob Gronkowski who could steal some of those shorter passes away. The Bucs also had the fourth-highest pass attempts of all teams last season, mostly due to Jameis Winston’s turnovers keeping opponents in games. It wouldn’t be surprising to see Tampa’s pass attempts go down, therefore leading to fewer overall targets.
2020 Bottom Line
Godwin is an exceptional talent, and should be viewed easily as a top 10 receiver and arguably as a top five. He was very efficient last season, finishing second in fantasy points scored despite being 20th in targets. It’s hard to see him improving on what he did last season, but that’s fine because last season worked. We expect similar production from Godwin in 2020, putting him near the top five wideouts.