Fantasy Upside
Since 2013, the MIT Sloan Sports Analytics Conference annually has given the Alpha Award for the best transaction in sports. An NFL transaction never had won the award for "Best Sports Transaction of the Year" until this year, when the Cardinals' acquisition of DeAndre Hopkins was deemed the best transaction of the year in all of sports. This comes as no surprise to fantasy managers who benefited from Hopkins' first season in Arizona playing alongside Kyler Murray. The Cardinals acquired Hopkins and a 2020 fourth-round in exchange for running back David Johnson, a 2020 second-round pick and a 2021 fourth-round pick. It could end up ranking as one of the most lopsided deals in NFL history. In his first season with the Cardinals, Hopkins earned his fifth Pro Bowl and second-team All-Pro honors and established a single-season franchise record with 115 receptions (on a whopping 160 targets). He tied for second in the NFL in both catches and 100-yard games (seven) while his 1,407 receiving yards ranked third in the league.
Fantasy Downside
Hopkins' game-winning touchdown catch in the closing seconds against Buffalo -- the "Hail Murray" play -- was selected as the 2020 Clutch Performance Play of the Year at NFL Honors in February. But if you're looking to nitpick Hopkins, his overall touchdown production (Hopkins finished with six scoring grabs) left something to be desired. In addition, Murray was slowed by injuries late last season and Hopkins' production declined during that span. But looking for downside here is essentially an exercise in predicting another low touchdown and/or injury issues. There's not a lot of concern here beyond that.
2021 Bottom Line
Hopkins has proven over multiple seasons with multiple quarterbacks to be virtually unstoppable. Over the past four seasons, he has 430 catches, 5,522 receiving yards and 37 touchdowns. Arizona should continue to field a strong offense with the addition of A.J. Green on the other side of the formation. Expect more heavy usage and high-end production again this year.