Derek Carr
  • Derek Carr

  • QB
  • , New Orleans Saints
  • 33
  • 215 lbs
  • 6' 3"
  • Fresno State
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Scouting report

by Brandon Niles

LV QB Derek Carr - 2022 Fantasy Football Outlook

2022 Fantasy Upside
Derek Carr had a nice start to last season, averaging 401 yards and landing at QB9 through the first three games. It was only after the team fell apart off the field that he started to slump, though he still finished as the QB14. Carr has been remarkably steady, often playing hurt and posting 4,000+ yards in each of his last four seasons, including a career-high 4,804 in 2021. Now entering his age-31 year, he may be poised for his best season yet. Josh McDaniels arrives as head coach after working with Tom Brady for 10 of the last 15 years and he’ll have the best weapons of his career thanks to the addition of DaVante Adams at wide receiver. Carr still has an elite tight end in Darren Waller, a solid running game to support him, and an excellent slot receiver in Hunter Renfrow.

2022 Fantasy Downside
Carr has always seemed a hair below the Tier 2 quarterbacks in the league and it’s possible we’ve seen his best already. McDaniels may or may not have the same success without Tom Brady, though he devised clever ways last season to put Mac Jones in the best position to succeed. Carr also offers very little as a runner, averaging 5.9 yards rushing per game over his career – though he did have three rushing touchdowns in 2020.

2022 Bottom Line
Carr has value. He’s being drafted as the QB14 and he finished last season as the QB14. If you believe less dysfunction, better weapons, and upside in coaching can give him an uptick in scoring, he’s a bargain in the ninth round. He’s only thrown for more than 30 touchdowns once in his career, way back in 2015, but if he can top that number and maintain his yardage totals from last season, there’s a chance he greatly outperforms his ADP.

by Brandon Niles

LV QB Derek Carr - Week 17 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 17 at Indianapolis Colts

Derek Carr threw for 201 yards, a touchdown and a pick in a victory over the Broncos last week. Carr has put up that 1/1 TD/Int line in four of his last six games and hasn’t thrown multiple touchdowns in a game since November 14th against the Chiefs. Against a tough Colts defense this week, he’s too risky to bank on in your lineup. Sit him.

by Brandon Niles

LV QB Derek Carr - Week 16 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 16 vs. Denver Broncos

Derek Carr had 236 yards, a touchdown and a pick last week against the Browns. It was a tough matchup and an ugly game, and Carr has been struggling over the later part of the season. At one point leading the league in passing yards this season, Carr has only one 300-plus yard game in his last seven, and he has only one game with multiple touchdowns in that span as well.

This week, Carr faces a Broncos defense that ranks 15th in aFPA to opposing quarterbacks. Expect another ugly, ground-based approach from the Raiders as they fight for a playoff spot amidst a terrible off-the-field season. With his recent struggles, we have him ranked as a low-end QB2 option, outside of streaming territory in most leagues. Sit him.

by Brandon Niles

LV QB Derek Carr - Week 15 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 15 at Cleveland Browns

Derek Carr had a rough day against the Chiefs last week. He threw for 263 yards, a touchdown and a pick in a 48-9 thrashing. It was actually encouraging that Carr didn’t have worse numbers, considering the team struggles in that game. Still, he now has single or zero touchdowns in four straight games and the Las Vegas offense looks like a mess.

This week, things won’t get easier for Carr against a Browns pass rush that has produced the fifth-most sacks in the league. Cleveland ranks 17th in aFPA to opposing quarterbacks, and may struggle to keep the game close with COVID issues throughout the team. Expect a heavy dose of the run game on Saturday, with limited upside for Carr. He should be on the bench, outside of 2QB leagues.

by Brandon Niles

LV QB Derek Carr - Week 14 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 14 at Kansas City Chiefs

Derek Carr had 249 yards passing last week and added 24 yards on the ground, but he failed to find the end zone in a loss to the Washington Football Team. Carr has been up-and-down all season as a fantasy option, but he’s still on pace for 5,189 yards and 24 touchdowns, giving him streaming value in the right matchups.

This week, Carr faces a Chiefs defense that ranks 14th in aFPA to opposing quarterbacks. Carr threw two touchdowns and a pick against the Chiefs in mid-November. Carr has upside in what could be a negative game script for the Raiders, but the Chiefs defense is tightening up lately, making it hard to trust the Las Vegas offense this week. We have Carr ranked as a low-end streaming option and fantasy managers should look elsewhere if possible in 1QB leagues.

by Brandon Niles

LV QB Derek Carr - Week 13 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 13 vs. Washington Football Team

Derek Carr had 373 yards and a touchdown in a shootout victory over the Cowboys on Thanksgiving. Carr has had some uneven performances this season, but he still leads the league in passing yardage and has gotten a boost from DeSean Jackson, who has catches of 38 and 56 yards already in just three games.

This week, Carr faces a Washington Football Team defense that ranks dead last in aFPA to opposing quarterbacks. It should be a solid day for Carr, and fantasy managers looking for quarterback streamers shouldn’t hesitate to insert Carr into lineups. We have him ranked just outside our top-10 quarterbacks this week.

by Brandon Niles

LV QB Derek Carr - Week 12 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 12 at Dallas Cowboys

Derek Carr and the rest of the Raiders roster looked in disarray last week in a lopsided loss to the Bengals. Carr ended up with just 215 yards, a touchdown and a pick and the Raiders fell to 5-5 on the season. It’s been a year riddled with off-field problems for the Raiders and Carr is a concerning fantasy option until we see some stability from the team.

This week, Carr has a Thanksgiving Day tilt against a surprisingly stout Cowboys defense that ranks third in aFPA to opposing quarterbacks. Carr hasn’t been consistent enough to warrant serious fantasy consideration, but if you have injury or bye week issues and need some guaranteed points on Thursday, he’s an acceptable streaming option. We have him ranked just outside QB1 territory.

Derek Carr news