Derrick Henry
  • Derrick Henry

  • RB
  • , Baltimore Ravens
  • 30
  • 247 lbs
  • 6' 2"
  • Alabama
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Scouting report

by Spencer Babbitt

TEN RB Derrick Henry - Week 4 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 4 at Indianapolis Colts
Derrick Henry had his best game of the season so far in Week 3 with 20 carries for 85 rushing yards and a touchdown, but the most important development for Henry's fantasy managers was his injection into the passing game. After recording one target through the Titans' first two games combined, Henry had six targets on Sunday and caught five balls for 58 yards. An active role catching passes out of the backfield would do wonders for Henry's fantasy floor while he maintains an elite weekly ceiling thanks to his massive rushing workload. While Week 3 was encouraging on this front, we have seen Henry fade in and out of the passing game in the past so we will need to see continued target volume to include more receptions in his fantasy projections moving forward. A pass game role would certainly be helpful in Week 4 when Henry will face off with a Colts defense that has been tough on running backs so far (4th in fewest schedule-adjusted fantasy points allowed to RBs). Keep Henry in lineups as a RB1 and hope Ryan Tannehill continues to look for him out the backfield.

by Spencer Babbitt

TEN RB Derrick Henry - Week 3 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 3 vs. Las Vegas Raiders
Things are off to a rough start for Derrick Henry as he continues to be invisible in the passing game, meaning he is in for a long night when the Titans get destroyed like they did Monday night. While Henry did manage to work in a short touchdown early, he finished with an abysmal 25 yards on 13 carries and no targets as the Titans got blown out by the Bills and eventually pulled their starters part-way through the second half. Henry is obviously an elite talent, but his lack of passing game usage means he is game-script dependent and heavily reliant on the team surrounding him to produce statistically. Through two weeks, Henry has one target and no receptions to go along with only one rushing touchdown as the Titans experience an offensive downturn in the wake of losing A.J. Brown. Henry can expect an easier day in Week 3 against the Raiders, but the early-season trends are concerning for his status as a RB1 in fantasy.

by Spencer Babbitt

TEN RB Derrick Henry - Week 2 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 2 at Buffalo Bills
Derrick Henry's Week 1 shows how vulnerable he can be when he is not involved in the passing game. Henry saw 18 carries in Week 1, but he only got a single target that he failed to haul in. As a result, Henry's stat line consists of 82 scoreless rushing yards, which is not the type of fantasy day that is going to work when he cost a first round pick in drafts. Henry's rushing volume remains exceptional, but relying solely on that for production can result in some slow fantasy days when he fails to get in the endzone or when the Titans fall behind on the scoreboard. Until we see otherwise, it appears that the spike in receiving work Henry got at the start of last season was an aberration rather than something that can be included in projections moving forward. Things will not be any easier in Week 2 when Henry and the Titans travel to Buffalo to face off with a fierce Bills defense that just ravaged the Rams offensive line in Week 1. Henry has to be started given his safe volume projection, but a ceiling day is unlikely against Buffalo this week.

by Spencer Babbitt

TEN RB Derrick Henry - Week 1 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 1 vs. New York Giants
Derrick Henry returns to the Tennessee backfield as the unquestioned centerpiece of the Titans' offensive attack. His Week 1 matchup against the Giants pits him against a run defense that finished in the bottom third of the NFL in adjusted fantasy points allowed to RBs (23.2 aFPA in half-PPR) last season. Henry should carry a heavy workload for the Titans in Week 1, and he will once again be one of the better bets in all of football to notch a rushing score. Henry's involvement in the passing game will be an intriguing storyline in Week 1 for the purpose of projecting his ceiling this year, but at the end of the day he remains a no-brainer RB1 even as the Titans face some uncertainty on their offensive depth chart due to offseason departures.

by Spencer Babbitt

TEN RB Derrick Henry - 2022 Fantasy Football Outlook

2022 Fantasy Upside
Prior to his Week 8 injury last season, Derrick Henry was logging nearly 30 touches per game, over 117 rushing yards per game, and had already scored 10 touchdowns on the ground. He had also caught 18 balls, a nondescript amount on paper but well ahead of his normal pace. In short, Henry was on pace for a league-winning season before breaking his foot midway through the year. Henry should be fully healthy for training camp later this month, and accordingly he should immediately retake control of the Titans' backfield and offense as a whole. The Titans have never wavered from making Henry the centerpiece of the offense, as is evident by his 27.5 touch average over his last 16 games. Henry may never pop in the passing game like some other backs and the Titans offense has lost some of its weaponry around him, but drafting him comes with a certain amount of security in that he will in all likelihood finish among the league leaders in carries, rushing yards, and rushing touchdowns barring serious injury. That workload alone locks him into RB1 status in fantasy, and if the Titans continue to use him in the passing game as they were last season, the sky is the limit for Henry, who has become a perennial candidate to lead all RBs in fantasy scoring whenever healthy.

2022 Fantasy Downside
Henry's fantasy concerns largely relate to the environment around him. The Titans lost A.J. Brown and (as of this writing) Julio Jones from the passing game this offseason, meaning Ryan Tannehill will be operating with Robert Woods and rookie Treylon Burks out wide. Defenses will be able to key in on Henry and the running game at a greater frequency this season without as many downfield threats in the Tennessee passing game. Another concern is Henry's usage in the passing game. While Henry logged 18 receptions in just eight games last season, banking on that to continue this year is relying on a very small sample size as Henry's career-high for receptions in a season remains just 19, back in 2020. Finally, Henry's huge workload will always bring injury concerns despite his history of durability. Henry's fractured foot should be fully healed by now, but we have seen similar injuries give players nagging issues throughout the years.

2022 Bottom Line
Henry projects as a strong RB1 in fantasy yet again in 2022. He comes with one of the safest volume projections in all of fantasy and carries massive upside in the rushing touchdown category as someone who dominates goal line carries. Whether Henry can get back to elite RB1 status will depend on his involvement in the passing game and the overall efficiency of the Titans offense. Henry is a surefire first round pick in fantasy even if he's not in contention for #1 overall this year.

by Spencer Babbitt

TEN RB Derrick Henry - Week 8 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 8 at Indianapolis Colts

To put Derrick Henry's absurd 2021 into perspective, fantasy managers were disappointed in his Week 7 performance where he "only" racked up 102 total yards, yet still managed to find the endzone by throwing a touchdown on a jump-pass in the first quarter against the Chiefs. Of course, we can't count on passing touchdowns to bolster Henry's floor every week, but the fact of the matter is he's running as hot as any player in fantasy not named Cooper Kupp right now. Henry will get a tough matchup against a stout Colts run defense in Week 8, but opponents barely matter for Henry in fantasy as he is guaranteed the get amongst the largest workloads in the entire league every week and continues to find the endzone with startling consistency, whether that be on the ground or, apparently, with his arm. Through seven weeks, Henry is averaging over 26 fantasy points per game in full PPR and should be a foundational piece of lineups on a weekly basis.

by Spencer Babbitt

TEN RB Derrick Henry - Week 7 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 7 vs. Kansas City Chiefs
Derrick Henry's start to the 2021 season has been nothing short of legendary in fantasy circles. Henry has racked up an absurd 162 carries through six weeks, turning that opportunity into 783 yards (4.8 YPC) and 10 touchdowns. On top of that, Henry has caught 16-of-18 targets for an additional 138 yards, representing numbers similar to what he would put up over the course of an entire season in the past. Henry has been the most reliable and explosive asset in fantasy this season, and with the Titans struggling in other areas of the offense, there are no signs of his rampage slowing down. Week 7 will bring a matchup with the Chiefs, a defense that is among the worst in the league and should stand little to no chance of obstructing Henry's path to a third straight rushing title. There really isn't much else to say. Henry is the clear overall RB1 in fantasy with Christian McCaffrey out. He should be locked into all lineups in all leagues on a weekly basis.

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