Fantasy Upside
Frank Gore finished as RB12 in standard and RB14 in PPR last year, despite a list of factors going against him: terrible offensive line, injured starting quarterback for nine games, broken fingers, and two sprained ankles. Despite that, he still has not missed a game in five consecutive seasons, the only RB in football who can claim that. At a position that was a dumpster fire in 2015, Gore should continue to provide consistent RB2 production, with no competition entering 2016 in Indianapolis for starter snaps. Gore actually had more touches in his first season in Indianapolis than he did in his final season in San Francisco, and volume is critical for fantasy RBs.
Fantasy Downside
Frank Gore is entering his age 33 season. His efficiency dropped from 4.3 yards in 2014 to a career low 3.7 yards per carry in 2015, the first time Gore dipped under 4.0 yards per carry in a season. Gore is battling history too. No running back age 33 or older has rushed for 1,000 yards since John Riggins in 1984, and only five players have done it overall.
Bottom Line
Gore doesn’t need to rush for 1,000 yards to repeat or improve on his 2014 season, as he provides value in the passing game as well. His 34 receptions last year were Gore’s most since 2010, which should raise his floor for 2016, especially in PPR leagues.
Gore’s ADP also creates a low risk situation, currently going in the early 7th round of 12-team leagues. As a high-volume RB option that will be most teams’ RB3 or RB4 on rosters, you could do a lot worse than Gore in the 7th round. Will he win you your league? Probably not. Is he a good insurance policy if RB is a mess again in 2016? Probably so. We have Gore ranked as a low RB2 in 2016, projecting closer to his floor, with ample return on investment opportunity in the 7th round for his ceiling.