Jake Ferguson
  • Jake Ferguson

  • TE
  • , Dallas Cowboys
  • 25
  • 244 lbs
  • 6' 5"
  • Wisconsin
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Scouting report

by Neil Dutton

DAL TE Jake Ferguson - Week 6 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 6 at Los Angeles Chargers

Week 5 was not a banner week for Jake Ferguson, who fared no better against the 49ers than the rest of his fellow Cowboys. He caught 100% of his targets for the second consecutive game, but he only saw three, and his three grabs brought him 28 scoreless yards. Ferguson managed just 4.3 Half PPR points, good for TE22 in Week 5. Ferguson averages 6.7 Half-PPR points per game this season, just outside the TE1 range.

Ferguson doesn't have a prime matchup in Week 6, nor does he have one to strike fear into the hearts of Ferguson managers. The Chargers are 22nd in aFPA to tight ends this season. Ferguson should be viewed as a low-end TE1 option this week.

by Neil Dutton

DAL TE Jake Ferguson - Week 5 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 5 at San Francisco 49ers

Jake Ferguson has finally emerged as the leader in the Cowboys tight end room, now setting the pace in snaps played (51%) and targets (25 to Ferguson, seven combined for Luke Schoonmaker and Peyton Hendershot). Against the Patriots last week, Ferguson caught all seven of his targets for 77 yards and finished as the TE8 for the Week, exactly where he sits in Half-PPR points per game.

Ferguson remains a player that you simply must start at fantasy sport's most volatile position against the 49ers in Week 5. The 49ers rank 14th in aFPA to tight ends in 2023, and Ferguson's emergence as the lead tight end on the Cowboys makes him a viable low end-TE1 option this week.

by Neil Dutton

DAL TE Jake Ferguson - Week 4 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 4 vs. New England Patriots

Jake Ferguson continued to perform at an OK level for tight ends in Week 3 against the Cardinals, neither bursting with fantasy points nor completely dudding out in a favorable matchup. Ferguson caught five of his seven targets for 48 yards, giving him 7.3 Half PPR points for a TE13 performance for the week. Ferguson is TE13 in points per game this season.

The Patriots are a fairly mediocre outfit when it comes to defending tight ends in 2023, ranking 12th in aFPA to the position. Ferguson has done enough to keep fantasy managers interested in him, but not enough to make him a player they must start. A low-end TE1 or high-end TE2 projection seems safe enough for Week 4.

by Neil Dutton

DAL TE Jake Ferguson - Week 3 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 3 at Arizona Cardinals

It was a mixed week for Jake Ferguson against the Jets in Week 2. Ferguson played almost double the snaps of his fellow tight ends but still ceded a target to each of them and a rushing attempt to Peyton Hendershot. Ferguson was able to grab three of his four targets for a meager 11 yards, but he did score a touchdown on his way to 8.6 Half PPR points. This was good for a TE11 finish.

Ferguson is definitely on the streaming radar in Week 3 against a Cardinals team that just begs for tight ends to produce against them. Still, the tight end by committee makes him a cautionary tale.

by Neil Dutton

DAL TE Jake Ferguson - Week 2 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 2 vs New York Jets

The good news for Jake Ferguson and his fantasy managers is he commanded a 28% target share for the Cowboys in Week 1. The bad news is that the seven targets he saw led to just two grabs for 11 yards, which gave him a whopping 2.1 Half-PPR points. 39 tight ends scored more this week.

The Jets are not a truly terrifying matchup for tight ends, by any stretch of the imagination, ranking 23rd by our numbers. Still, they are an elite pass defense, and the Cowboys may struggle to move the ball through the air against them. Ferguson may need to continue to command targets at a high rate to have any fantasy relevance this week and should be looked at as a mid-tier TE2 for Week 2.

by Neil Dutton

DAL TE Jake Ferguson - Week 1 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 1 at New York Giants

Jake Ferguson was firmly behind Dalton Schultz in the pecking order during his rookie season in 2022. He played just 37.01% of the offense snaps, which was enough time for him to catch 19 of 22 targets for 174 yards and two touchdowns. Ferguson was the TE47 in Half-PPR scoring, while Schultz finished as the TE10.

Schultz is now a Houston Texan, leaving Ferguson in the box seat to assume the lead tight end duties for the Cowboys. Ferguson is an excellent streaming option in Week 1 against the New York Giants, who were 24th in aFPA to tight ends a year ago. Ferguson is projected to be a high-end TE2 this week, but he should slowly climb the ranks as the season progresses.

by Neil Dutton

DAL TE Jake Ferguson - 2023 Fantasy Football Outlook

Fantasy Upside
Dalton Schultz is now a member of the Houston Texans, taking the bulk of the 89 vacated tight end targets for the Cowboys with him. Jake Ferguson stands to be the main beneficiary, as the leading receiving option at the tight-end spot. Ferguson caught 145 passes for Wisconsin during his college career. If the Cowboys continue to use the tight end around the red zone, after sitting 11th in red zone tight end targets over the last three seasons, then Ferguson has a chance to make a name for himself as a weekly option at fantasy football's most volatile spot.

Fantasy Downside
Just like most of the secondary pass catchers in this offense, Ferguson might struggle to see targets if the Cowboys go as run-heavy as Mike McCarthy seems to be threatening. Ferguson is not likely to see a target share that makes him a "must-start" on a weekly basis and will be banking on touchdowns to make him fantasy relevant.

2023 Bottom Line
Late-round tight ends are a lottery almost all of the time. Ferguson is now different, except that he has a clear path to playing time, and potentially a ready-made role for fantasy success. But he'll likely need to show something early in the season before he should be considered a weekly fixture in fantasy lineups.

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