Fantasy Upside
James Conner sneakily had his first 1,000-yard rushing season in 2023, paired with a moderate 27 catches and 165 more yards. His 5.0 YPC also set a new career high, and he has now scored seven touchdowns or more in each of his last four seasons. That type of baseline production makes him a weekly RB2, with RB1 spikes when he finds the end zone multiple times in a week, or has a particularly heavy receiving workload. The boost in weapons around him could give him even more goal-line looks in 2024.
Fantasy Downside
As is so often the case at the position, Conner has missed at least some time in every season of his NFL career, including a knee strain that kept him out of a four-game stretch in the middle of '23. The addition of Trey Benson to the backfield gives Conner the most serious competition for touches that he's had since coming to Arizona in 2021. The third-round rookie offers the team some explosive upside that has a very realistic probability of limiting Conner's monster 20-plus attempt upside.
2024 Bottom Line
Conner is heading into his Age 29 season, which is definitely pushing up against the RB age cliff in fantasy, and the team decided to take a shot on a rookie with 4.39 speed to give the offense some insurance in case this is indeed when the veteran starts to decline. With that said, he's still been a highly efficient runner, and he finds himself in a much better offensive environment than he was in last season. He still profiles as a high-floor/moderate-ceiling RB2 and should be targeted when he slides down draft boards.