Rob Gronkowski
  • Rob Gronkowski

  • TE
  • ,
  • 35
  • 265 lbs
  • 6' 6"
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Scouting report

by Jordan Heck

TB TE Rob Gronkowski - Week 1 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 1 at New Orleans Saints

Rob Gronkowski is back after sitting out all of 2019, and he's back with a familiar face in Tom Brady. While there's some initial skepticism on Gronk considering his play fell off in 2018 and he's been out of football for a year, there's also reason for optimism. He's playing with Brady again, and although he wasn't dominant in 2018, he was still the No. 11 scoring tight end in fantasy that year. We expect him to be that fringe TE1 player again in 2020, and he's near that range in Week 1 against the Saints. We're projecting a 3.2-45.9 performance out of Gronk this week.

by Jordan Heck

TB TE Rob Gronkowski - 2020 Fantasy Football Outlook

Fantasy Upside
Rob Gronkowski is back after taking one season off, and he joins a high-powered offense with his friend Tom Brady. Gronk was a force when he was active as he has the highest career yards per target of any player (with at least 500 career targets). Even in his final year when he wasn’t at his peak, Gronk still finished as the No. 8 tight end (half-PPR) in fantasy points per game.

Fantasy Downside
There are many reasons to be skeptical of Gronk in fantasy this season. For starters, he returns after taking a full year off, and he looked trimmed down in offseason photos. Second, he joins a Buccaneers team coached by Bruce Arians who has a bad history with tight ends. In Arians’ last nine seasons (as head coach or offensive coordinator), he’s never had a tight end finish in the top-18 in total fantasy points scored for tight ends. And finally, Gronk’s health. From 2016-2018, Gronk missed 15 games due to injury and played through a questionable injury in 11 games.

2020 Bottom Line
This isn’t the Gronk that spiked his way to 17 receiving touchdowns in a single season. There’s enough here to make you pause about drafting him, but there are also plenty of worse options. The tight end pool in fantasy is shallow, and Gronk at least offers some promise. If he’s able to stay relatively healthy, he should finish with low-TE1 numbers.

by Steve Andress

NE TE Rob Gronkowski - Week 19 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 19 vs. Los Angeles Chargers

The Chargers go west to east for the second consecutive week to take on the Patriots in New England with a trip to the AFC Championship game on the line. New England is a shrinking four-point favorite with a middle-of-the-pack implied team total of 25.5 points. The Chargers rank top five in aFPA to QBs, which makes Tom Brady a very risky option in the divisional round. Even though the Chargers rank top ten in aFPA to TEs as well, Rob Gronkowski still ranks top four at the position this week thanks to an utter lack of good tight ends left. Obviously, his floor is zero though at this point.

by Steve Andress

NE TE Rob Gronkowski - Week 17 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 17 vs. New York Jets

The Patriots should send their starters out for a full 60 minutes this week in an effort to lock up a first-round bye in the playoffs. New England also has an outside chance at home field advantage with a win and Chiefs and Chargers losses. Because of this, New England is among the highest implied team totals this week at 29.25 points after being installed as almost two-touchdown favorites. Tom Brady is in a bounce-back spot against a defense ranked dead last in aFPA to QBs. However, Gronk giveth and Gronk taketh away in 2018. His floor is zero points, as evidenced by last week. His ceiling is high-end TE1. The state of fantasy TE keeps him among those ranked as a TE1, but he's extremely volatile in Week 17.

by Steve Andress

NE TE Rob Gronkowski - Week 16 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 16 vs. Buffalo Bills

The Patriots certainly have not looked like the Patriots over the past two weeks, but against the Bills this week, New England still has the third-highest implied team total on the Week 16 slate of 28.75 points. Buffalo ranks fourth in aFPA to TEs, and Gronk struggled against the Bills in the first meeting, only catching three of eight targets. The state of fantasy TE is such that Gronk is still a weekly TE1, but those with Gronk have seen the roller coaster it is to roster him in 2018. Flip a coin on whether you see the floor or ceiling Gronk in Week 16.

by Steve Andress

NE TE Rob Gronkowski - Week 15 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 15 at Pittsburgh Steelers

As usual, there are a lot of reasons to like Patriots players in fantasy this week. New England has an implied team total of 27.5, among the highest in the league. Only Baltimore is averaging more offensive plays per game this season than New England, and only Baltimore and Dallas have more offensive plays over the past three weeks. Plus, this game has an over/under of 52, among the highest of Week 15. Pittsburgh ranks just 25th in aFPA to TEs, and Gronk's re-emergence last week has us very excited for more this time around, as he has a strong history against this opponent. Gronk is averaging more than 120 yards and 1.25 touchdowns in his last four regular season games against Pittsburgh.

by Steve Andress

NE TE Rob Gronkowski - Week 14 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 14 at Miami Dolphins

The New England Patriots head to Miami with a top five implied team total, facing a defense that ranks just 29th in total defense this season. New England struggled at Hard Rock Stadium surprisingly, but this Dolphins defensive unit doesn't have the pieces it had last year. Miami ranks poorly in aFPA to TEs, but inconsistent targets keep Gronk out of the top tier of TEs at this point in the season. On the plus side, he was removed from the injury report Thursday and Miami has hemorrhaged scores to this position. Outside the big names at TE, few offer better fantasy playoff TE upside than Gronk.

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