Fantasy Upside
Sterling Shepard had a modest season last year, catching 66 passes on 107 targets for 872 yards and four touchdowns. He also averaged 13.2 yards per catch, not bad for a slot receiver with that many catches, and more than Alshon Jeffery and Calvin Ridley. Shepard should benefit from the departure of Odell Beckham Jr., as he averaged 7.6 targets per game in 2017 when Beckham Jr. missed 12 games.
Fantasy Downside
Shepard hasn’t really lived up to expectations the past two seasons, despite getting significant opportunities to distinguish himself. Beckham Jr. has played in only half of his last 32 games and Shepard has still provided only modest production. After eight touchdowns his rookie season, he’s scored only six since, and the quarterback play isn’t likely to improve this year with Eli Manning back under center. Even if rookie first-round pick Daniel Jones takes over for Manning, there’s likely to be a learning curve. Shepard's injury in early camp may take time to heal, though he's unlikely to miss much time during the regular season.
2019 Bottom Line
For the price of an eighth-rounder, there should be a little more upside available than Shepard provides. His teammate Golden Tate is going a round later and should put up similar production. With a struggling offense and most of the fantasy hype going to Saquon Barkley and Evan Engram, Shepard seems like late-round value rather than mid-round production. His injury status should be monitored as well.