T.Y. Hilton
  • T.Y. Hilton

  • WR
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  • 35
  • 183 lbs
  • 5' 10"
  • Florida International
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Scouting report

by Steve Andress

IND WR T.Y. Hilton - Week 6 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 6 at Tennessee Titans

Jacoby Brissett's rapid development has put T.Y. Hilton back on the fantasy map while Andrew Luck is out, evidenced by last week's breakout game of the season. The Titans are the second-easiest matchup in our aFPA vs. PPR WR rankings, too. Hilton has also put up a 5.0-92-0.5 line in his last four games against the Titans. Consider Hilton a low-end WR1 this week.

by Steve Andress

IND WR T.Y. Hilton - Week 5 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 5 vs. San Francisco 49ers

Rough matchup last week for T.Y. Hilton, on top of just not being the same fantasy receiver without Andrew Luck. He has a chance to do some damage this week against a 49ers secondary that's ranked 18th in our aFPA vs. PPR WR rankings. The 49ers have also allowed the sixth-most PPR points to fantasy WRs this season. Hilton shapes up as a high-end WR2 this week.

by Steve Andress

IND WR T.Y. Hilton - Week 4 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 4 at Seattle Seahawks

T.Y. Hilton flashed his usual self last week against the Browns. But this week at Seattle? Hard pass. This feels like a "you'll need garbage time points" scenario, with the Colts a 14-point underdog. Consider Hilton a FLEX option for Week 4, given the matchup, not his usual WR1 self when Andrew Luck is the starter.

by Steve Andress

IND WR T.Y. Hilton - Week 3 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 3 vs. Cleveland Browns

Coming into the season, Hilton averaged five PPR points less per game without Andrew Luck at quarterback vs. when Luck started. In the first two weeks of this season? More struggles without Luck. Hilton has seen only 6.5 targets per game through the first two weeks, averaging 7.8 PPR points per game. That just isn't going to get it done. Sadly, Hilton owners have to keep stashing him, hoping Luck will come back soon. Until then, he's a risky FLEX play, even against the Browns.

by Steve Andress

IND WR T.Y. Hilton - Week 2 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 2 vs. Arizona Cardinals

Coming into the season, Hilton averaged five PPR points less per game without Andrew Luck at quarterback vs. when Luck started. In Week 1? Just 8.7 PPR points. That's not going to get it done, especially in a matchup with shutdown corner Patrick Peterson looming. Consider Hilton a low-end FLEX option, but until Luck comes back, he's not a WR1 or WR2.

by Steve Andress

IND WR T.Y. Hilton - Week 1 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 1 at Los Angeles Rams

In one game without Andrew Luck last season, T.Y. Hilton caught just 3 passes for 54 yards against Pittsburgh. Looking at a larger sample from 2015, Hilton averaged 12.0 PPR fantasy points per game without Luck. Compare that to the 17 PPR points per game Hilton averaged in 2016. A 12.0 PPR average would have knocked Hilton out of the top-40 wide receivers last season. For these reasons, expectations have to be put in check for Hilton Week 1. He moves down from a top-12 wide reciver to a borderline WR2 against the Rams.

by Steve Andress

IND WR T.Y. Hilton - 2017 Fantasy Football Outlook

Fantasy Upside

T.Y. Hilton finished as the fantasy WR5 last season. His 17.0 PPR points per game were good enough for seventh at the position. His 155 targets last season were fourth in the NFL, which should stabilize his floor again in 2017. Hilton also still averaged 9 targets per game last year when Donte Moncrief was healthy.

Fantasy Downside

Andrew Luck's early season availability is in question, which would hurt Hilton for the first couple of weeks, judging by Hilton's poor 2015 fantasy performance without his quarterback. Hilton also has never had high touchdown upside, with a career-high seven in 2014. Hilton's targets weren't affected when Moncrief was healthy last year, but his fantasy points sure were. Hilton averaged 19.8 PPR fantasy points per game when Moncrief was out but only 14.8 when Moncrief played. That was WR15 in those weeks for Hilton.

2017 Bottom Line

Hilton's production in games Moncrief played has to be considered his floor if Luck is healthy. That means there is some risk with his ADP as the eighth WR off the board. But his target share paired with one of the best quarterbacks in the game should not be overlooked. Just don't expect a top-3 WR finish for Hilton.

T.Y. Hilton news