Lions vs Raiders NFL Prop Bets: Week 8 Odds & Picks for MNF
With another amazing week of betting in the books, I'm back with a free play! We are 10-4 on player prop bets this week for +5.78 units. All of the bets were widely available at multiple sportsbooks when they were released in our subscriber discord! This puts our total record this season on player prop bets at 68-47 (59.13%) for +18.56 units. That doesn't even include any of our alternate overs that have provided subscribers with big wins as well.
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Week 8 Monday Night Football Player Prop Bets
This week's edition of Monday Night Football features the Detroit Lions and Las Vegas Raiders. The Lions are more than touchdown favorites against the Raiders with a total of just 46.5.
Josh Jacobs under 61.5 rushing yards ( -110 at Bet 365)
This is widely available at other sportsbooks above the play-to number of 57. It was released in our discord at 61.5 rushing yards. Jacobs has fewer than 60 yards in 4-of-7 games, and all of his best outings came due to massive amounts of volume or great matchups. The three games he has 60+ rushing yards were:
- 77 yards on 25 carries against NE (LV won)
- 69 rushing yards on 20 carries against GB (LV Won)
- 62 rushing yards on 17 carries against PIT (LV lost, but PIT run defense is bad)
He now faces a Detroit run defense that has been fantastic this season before last week. Last week, they faced a unique rushing threat and masterful gameplan where the Ravens leveraged every edge they had with spacing, personnel, etc, and gashed the Lions in all facets of the game. Prior to that week, no running back had even cleared 45 rushing yards against the Lions. Even with them being rinsed on the ground last week, they still have elite metrics, including 2nd in explosive run rate allowed, and ranking top-8 in both early down and overall rushing success rate allowed.
I fully expect a bounceback for the Lions' run defense here, as Jacobs and the Raiders are a much more traditional running game and have been unbelievably inefficient despite playing middling run defenses. On top of a good matchup, we have heightened potential of a blowout with the Lions heading into this game as more than touchdown favorites. With all unders we play, having multiple outs or ways for it to hit is important. We have that here with matchup and game script.
Risk: 1.15 units to win 1 units
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