Week 1 NFL Player Props: Best Player Props to Bet from Ryan Noonan

Sep 05, 2024

Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports

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I spend a lot of time analyzing defensive performance, and the majority of my props land on that side of the ball. I'll also mix in some "traditional" offensive props, but expect to see more defense than offense here. The power of our community moves these lines very quickly, so if you're waiting for tackle props to pop in here first, you'll be missing the best line and price on every play. My official tackle plays are 162-101 (61.6%) over the past two seasons (+41.84u), and I believe that edge remains just as strong as ever, and I'm looking forward to exploiting it all season long.

This year, we will be playing widely available props a bit earlier in the week, knowing that the available limits at that time still serve most of our audience and their budgets. The landscape has changed and we're adapting to change with it to better serve our subscribers. All of our plays come with detailed write-ups and are either at multiple books or have significant limits that can withstand a release late in the week.

Additionally, we hired:

Monotone Football: Stu has crushed the prop market for years and will now release all his plays in 4for4's Discord.
Hunter Huss: Takes a data-driven approach to the sides and totals market, winning almost 50 units alone last season.
Jake Lotenberg: Originate, pinpoint value, and release plays for Underdog/PrizePicks/Vivid/Betr, etc.
Stephen Hoopes: Interception props based on his model that hit over 62% of the time with an average juice of -130 last year.

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