NFL SGP Picks: Hyslop's Dolphins vs. Rams Parlay for MNF

Here's the thing about sports betting: we should all be able to do it. Every American, from sea to shining sea, should be able to drop a few greenbacks on any NFL game they want. That's just a fact. But some of us live in prison states that won't allow such activity. Lucky for people in those states, we have sweepstakes sites like Rebet. Rebet allows you to do everything you need to do in terms of getting down, but it's legal in almost every state in the union. That's a big deal. Keep reading.

There are many sweepstakes sites popping up, but Rebet is by far the best one (in my opinion), and I think the world should know about them. For that reason, I'm going to post an SGP for Monday & Thursday night every single week right here, and we're going to use Rebet. It gets far better than that, though. You can ride along. All you have to do is, sign up for Rebet using this link and deposit at least $10. Once you do that, you'll will get a FREE month of 4for4 as well as a FREE month of my DubClub. That's absolutely insane, but that's also what we're willing to do to get you to the promised land. Hats off to us.

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Monday Night Football SGP - Miami Dolphins vs Los Angeles Rams (+117) - Rebet

Legs One & Two: Tua Tagovailoa 20+ Pass Completions & Tua Tagovailoa 225+ Passing Yards

I know that this thing is only +117, but most books won't even let us do something this correlated. I've never in my life seen a book that allows completions to be parlayed with passing yards. That's just dumb, even if they gouge us in price. I think we should take advantage. Especially since only four teams in the entire NFL have a lower aDOT than the Miami Dolphins this season. They obviously want the ball out of Tua's hands as soon as possible, so that leads to a dink-and-dunk approach. Combine that with the fact that the Rams have a decent run defense (3.9 YPC at home) and a decent offense (25 PPG L3), and we should see an environment where Tua is expected to throw the ball 30+ times. When that happens, he's completing 20 passes. Just like he's done in all three games he's started and finished this season.

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Now, obviously, if Tua is completing passes, he's accruing passing yards. That's just how passing in the NFL works. Since that's the case, why not throw Tua's passing yards into this thing? I mean, Rebet allows it when almost no one else does. The thing is, it makes sense. For starters, Tua has done this in literally every game he has started and finished this season. Even if he does not have Tyreek Hill tonight, he still has enough weapons to take advantage of a very weak Rams' secondary. Only eight teams in the entire NFL allow more passing yards per game. This feels easy. Almost like stealing.

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Leg Three: Jonnu Smith 3+ Receptions

The last thing we need to do is find a viable receiver, and we can go ahead and wait for the cash to roll in. That guy is Jonnu Smith. Like I said before, we don't know if Tyreek Hill is playing tonight. Most books haven't offered lines on him or the other Dolphins' wide receivers. Anytime that hasn't happened by the morning of the game, something stinks. Like bad. Lucky for us, no matter if Tyreek is playing or not, Jonnu Smith is catching 3+ passes. He's done it in each of the last four games. He's a staple in the Dolphins' super-low aDOT offense. The beauty is, if Hill doesn't play, he'll do this in the first half. Maybe even the first quarter. Possibly the first drive. Feels right.

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Lines and prices accurate at the time of posting in Discord

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This sheet from Dan Rivera tracks all my betting picks and those from the rest of the betting staff. Just click on the tab with my name on it for the results.

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