NFL SGP Picks: Hyslop's Patriots vs. Jets Parlay for TNF

If we're being honest here (we are), the last two days have been tough. I'm sure it wasn't just me either. We've now hit the part of the NFL season where I could watch the NFL every single day. In Weeks 1 & 2, maybe not. Maybe the Tuesday/Wednesday break was needed, but not anymore. The training wheels have come off, and I'm ready to bet on the NFL seven days a week. Lucky for us, the books are still handing out No Sweat SGP tokens as well as profit boosts like they're candy. If you go to DraftKings, the lobby is littered with deals that seem to go on for days. It's glorious. We need to get in on these things, and we need to do it now.

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Thursday Night Football SGP - New England Patriots vs New York Jets (+486) - FanDuel

Legs One & Two: Hunter Henry 3+ Receptions & Rhamondre Stevenson 3+ Receptions

I went to FanDuel for this No Sweat SGP because they let me get $50 down. Those poor bastards have no idea what they're doing. And I mean that as a compliment. What I did was break this thing down into two parts: the New England game script and the New York game script. When you do that, you'll see that Hunter Henry is catching at least three passes tonight. The man was basically the only passing option for the Patriots last week, and I'm pretty sure they will be trailing again this week. The tight end position is where the Jets could be attacked tonight, so the whole thing just makes sense.

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We can't stop with just one option in the New England pass game, though. That would be soft, and we're anything but. We're actually the opposite of soft. So, how about Rhamandre Stevenson? He was targeted in the passing game five times last week. He only caught two of those balls, but whatever. That's the wrong detail to be focused on. We need to look at intent, and the intent was there. The Jets have given up 10 receptions to opposing running backs so far this season, so we have a good opponent for this. Now all we need is to find our Jets' legs, and we're basically rich.

Leg Three & Four: Breece Hall 50+ Rushing Yards & Mike Williams 2+ Receptions

The New York Jets side was a little trickier than the Patriots, but I'm pretty sure I figured it out. We're definitely going Breece Hall 50+ rushing yards. He's done this in each of the last two weeks, and he's done it against good opponents. One was a trailing game script against the 49ers. My guess is the Jets will at least be neutral tonight, and when that happens, Breece will see carries. I have him going for at least 16 attempts, so if you're familiar with math, he just needs 3.1 yards a carry. That feels easy.

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This is where things get a little wild, but not really. I mean, how can two catches from anyone be wild? Even if it is two catches from a guy coming off an ACL injury. The thing is, we're talking about Mike Williams here, so there really isn't much to worry about. I get that he hasn't done this for the Jets yet, but he barely played in Week 1. Last week, he played 37 snaps, and while he only caught one ball, it was a pretty sweet catch at an important time in the game. We just have to know he's going to be more involved tonight. It's two catches, people. Feels right.

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Lines and prices accurate at the time of posting in Discord