Forecast Accuracy Report
The Importance of Looking Back & Keeping Score...
If you use a Fantasy source that doesn't carefully track and publish
week-to-week and year-to-year results, you could be asking for trouble.
As the old golfing adage goes, "If you're not keeping score, you're only practicing."
We certainly won't get them all. But, our process
provides you with a decision support tool that's measurable, objective and
consistently replicated. The methods are statistically sound and have been
validated on all NFL games going back to the mid-90's. With years of research, experience and results, we've
gained a high degree of confidence in our process.
Below we share a few highlights, present overall results and provide a link to all the actual and
forecast data to allow you to leverage the recap analysis as you see best.
Every week has it's share of upsets. In turn we have a number of
surprises in fantasy as well. On the plus side, we nailed a number of things
including...
1) Philip Rivers 274 passing yards (actual 279)
2) Frank Gore would rush for fewer yards than his average (actual = 46 yards below average)
3) Adrian Peterson 11.7 fantasy points (actual 11.5)
4) Ryan Fitzpatrick would pass for more yards than his average (actual = 189 yards above average)
5) Julian Edelman 9.3 fantasy points (actual 9.2)
6) Emmanuel Sanders 60 receiving yards (actual 61)
7) Mohamed Sanu 2.4 fantasy points (actual 2.4)
8) Jarius Wright 18 receiving yards (actual 19)
9) LeVeon Bell 88 total yards (actual 93 yards)
10) Keenan Allen 71 receiving yards (actual 71)
11) Travis Kelce 74 receiving yards (actual 74)
12) Carlos Hyde 9.4 fantasy points (actual 9.7)
13) Jarvis Landry 70 receiving yards (actual 74)
14) Jimmy Garoppolo 254 passing yards (actual 248)
15) Albert Wilson would have more reception yardage than his average (actual = 60 yards above average)
16) DeVante Parker 4.8 receptions (actual = 5)
17) Stefon Diggs 11.2 fantasy points (actual 11.7)
18) Chris Conley 53 receiving yards (actual 56)
19) Nick Boyle 2.5 fantasy points (actual 2.4)
20) Dak Prescott 269 passing yards (actual 265)
21) Michael Thomas would have a 100 yard receiving game (actual 136)
22) Austin Hooper 8.1 fantasy points (actual 8.2)
23) Demarcus Robinson would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 24 yards below average)
24) Patrick Mahomes 24.3 fantasy points (actual 25.4)
25) Leonard Fournette 77 rushing yards (actual 71)
26) Corey Davis 43 receiving yards (actual 40)
27) Cooper Kupp 9.2 fantasy points (actual 9.1)
28) Zay Jones 14 receiving yards (actual 14)
29) Jonnu Smith 3.2 receptions (actual = 3)
30) Marlon Mack 87 rushing yards (actual 95)
31) Kenny Golladay 72 receiving yards (actual 66)
32) George Kittle 75 receiving yards (actual 79)
33) Sam Darnold projected pass TD 1.1 (actual 1)
34) Lamar Jackson 31.5 fantasy points (actual 29.8)
35) Sony Michel 9.6 fantasy points (actual 10.1)
36) Bo Scarbrough would rush for fewer yards than his average (actual = 41 yards below average)
37) Michael Gallup 4.7 receptions (actual = 5)
38) Russell Gage 5.8 fantasy points (actual 5.6)
39) Deebo Samuel 4.0 receptions (actual = 4)
40) Ishmael Hyman would have more reception yardage than his average (actual = 28 yards above average)
41) Jesper Horsted 19 receiving yards (actual 20)
Below we track how well our "A-Game", "B-Game" and "C-Game" players did last week.
We also track how we're doing for the entire season. In fact, we've been monitoring our weekly Fantasy Impact Rating accuracy for the past 15 years.
QB Projected Impact | Week 16 | 2019 | Last 15 Seasons | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total Yards | Total TDs | Total Yards | Total TDs | Total Yards | Total TDs | |
4for4 A-Game | 274 | 1.6 | 285 | 1.9 | 257 | 1.8 |
4for4 B-Game | 263 | 1.7 | 256 | 1.8 | 213 | 1.2 |
4for4 C-Game | 210 | 1.3 | 214 | 1.2 | 174 | 0.9 |
RB Projected Impact | Week 16 | 2019 | Last 15 Seasons | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total Yards | Total TDs | Total Yards | Total TDs | Total Yards | Total TDs | |
4for4 A-Game | 149 | 0.5 | 106 | 0.7 | 112 | 0.8 |
4for4 B-Game | 89 | 0.9 | 80 | 0.6 | 90 | 0.5 |
4for4 C-Game | 35 | 0.2 | 38 | 0.2 | 31 | 0.2 |
WR Projected Impact | Week 16 | 2019 | Last 15 Seasons | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total Yards | Total TDs | Total Yards | Total TDs | Total Yards | Total TDs | |
4for4 A-Game | 96 | 0.5 | 83 | 0.5 | 85 | 0.6 |
4for4 B-Game | 46 | 0.2 | 62 | 0.4 | 62 | 0.4 |
4for4 C-Game | 49 | 0.3 | 41 | 0.2 | 38 | 0.3 |
To see a report with all prior week Yardage and TD actuals and predictions, click here.