The Rundown: Week 11

Nov 15, 2019

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The less we talk about the Thursday opener, the better. The rest of the Week 11 slate looks largely promising with several marquee matchups including a potential scorcher of a Monday night game. A few duds exist in the bunch but it mostly features players who normally wouldn't be starters anyway. As always, the Thursday preview along with stats to know is already available and this will focus on the rest of the slate including start/sit recommendations.

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Fantasy Rating Key

(5) - Elite option. Must start.
(4) - Strong option. Likely start.
(3) - Good option. Low-end starter to high-end backup.
(2) - Weak option. Possible flex or desperation play.
(1) - Bad option. Bench in nearly all cases.
(0) - Not an option. Injured, bench, or waivers.

Jets @ Redskins

Spread: Redskins -1.5 | Total: 38.5

This won’t be the worst game of the season but it has a legitimate claim. The Jets do look better with Sam Darnold and even managed a victory with 34 points against the Giants last week. The Redskins, meanwhile, are fully embracing rebuild mode with Dwayne Haskins starting and Derrius Guice potentially returning this week. This doesn’t bode well for 2019 fantasy leagues but could give some understanding for 2020 and beyond.

New York Jets

This should be another game with lots of touches for LeVeon Bell. He will be heavily featured against a porous Washington run defense and protect Sam Darnold from mistakes. The passing game will be on the fringes of fantasy relevance this week as scoring will likely come at a premium.

Team Trends That Matter

Rank last with a 23.7% third-down conversion rate this season.
Their touchdown rate (10% of drives) is last in the league and less than half the NFL average (22.1%).
Have only held two of nine opposing quarterbacks under 15 fantasy points.

Fantasy Rating and a Stat to Know

QB Sam Darnold (2) - Week 10 was his first game over 20 fantasy points this season
RB LeVeon Bell (4) - Just one game below four receiving targets with the Jets
WR Jamison Crowder (3) - The WR7 over the last two weeks
WR Robby Anderson (2) - Week 10 was just his second game this year under 90% snap share
WR Demaryius Thomas (2) - Does not have a target inside the 10-yard line this season
TE Ryan Griffin (1) - Week 10 was his sixth game under five PPR points this year

Washington Redskins

Ideally, the Redskins would like to leverage their running game to keep pressure off their young quarterback. This looks like an instance where that is possible. It will make it tough for the receivers to get much volume but the Jets are among the worst pass defenses this season so there are opportunities if the coaching staff calls a few deep plays.

Team Trends That Matter

Rank last in situation-adjusted offensive pace (34.36 seconds) between plays.
No tight end has exceeded 13 PPR points against the Redskins in 2019.
The Redskins defense allows 6.7 plays per drive, the highest figure in the league.

Fantasy Rating and a Stat to Know

QB Dwayne Haskins (0) - Every opposing quarterback has scored a passing or rushing touchdown against the Jets this season
RB Adrian Peterson (2) - Four straight games with 16 or more total touches
WR Terry McLaurin (4) - Just one game below six targets this year
WR Paul Richardson (1) - Played a season-low 24 offensive snaps in Week 9
TE Jeremy Sprinkle (0) - Has yet to see five targets in a game this season