2022 Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Card Preview

Mar 01, 2022

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The Florida swing continues at Bay Hill for the 2022 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Bay Hill offers a stern test of golf. Historically, the winner comes from near the top of the betting board. Despite being a healthy 7,454 yards, distance advantages off the tee are mitigated because of the multitude of forced layups and doglegs throughout. Forced layups off the tee create a ton of long approach shots, and this week's field will face a higher rate of 200+ yard approach shots than any other week this season. Bay Hill's lightning-fast, rock-solid Bermuda greens complexes feature run-offs that make the green difficult to hold, creating a lower-than-average greens in regulation rate every year.

Bay Hill typically features some of the longest rough on Tour each season, too, and the fairways can also play fast. Don't be surprised to see excellent tee shots roll into the rough, or even worse, the water. The 2015 re-design brings water into play on 11 of the 18 holes. Then there's the wind. It's always a story at Bay Hill, and the early weather report shows moderate wind throughout, but nothing substantial. With The PLAYERS Championship on deck, we have a strong field tuning up this week at Bay Hill.

Past Winners at Bay Hill

2021: Bryson DeChambeau (-11)
2020: Tyrrell Hatton (-4)
2019: Francesco Molinari (-12)
2018: Rory McIlroy (-18)
2017: Marc Leishman (-11)
2016: Jason Day (-17)

For more course-specific data and event trends, please check out Ron Klos's tournament preview. It's the most comprehensive preview you'll find anywhere.

There are so many ways to bet on this beautiful game. Picking outright winners is fun but must be done responsibly. Proper unit sizing is vital, and I've shared my approach with our subscribers in Discord. In this space, I want to touch on the players I'm targeting this week and share my opinion on the best way to bet them at this event.

Please take advantage of the Discord feature and community. It's the best way to get up-to-the-minute lines and advice, and if you need help getting started, please reach out. That's where my full card will be posted, along with any live in-tournament bets. Betting markets are fluid, but I'll note the best number available at the time of this writing.

Light card for me this week because I'll be out of pocket and golfing myself (Hello, Hilton Head!), and betting has not made its way down to South Carolina yet. Stay plugged into our Discord, though, I might have some PrizePicks plays for you!

*Betting lines accurate at the time of publication.