Packers vs Raiders NFL Prop Bets: Week 5 Odds & Picks for MNF
Week 5 has been great so far. We are 7-2 on official plays heading into Monday Night Football and now up over 10 units on the season. All of my picks are released in our subscriber-discord as a part of our betting subscription. Every play has multiple books available at the time of release and we try to include “play-to” numbers in every bet in case subscribers miss the initial release! They also come with in-depth breakdowns so you can understand my thought process when making each bet.
Since we had a solid week, this play will be FREE! I wasn’t the only one with a good week, though, as Noonan continues to DOMINATE tackle props. Dating back to last season, he is hitting over 64% of his bets.
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Week 5 Monday Night Football Player Prop Bets
This week's game on Monday Night Football is between the Green Bay Packers and Las Vegas Raiders! The Raiders are 2.5-point favorites at home with a total of 45.5. The Packers head into this game at 2-2, while the Raiders are 1-3.
Jimmy Garoppolo under 241.5 passing yards (-110 at FanDuel)
This is widely available at other domestics as well. With the news of Davante Adams playing, this number has been climbing, but I'm willing to go against the steam in this spot.
The Packers are yet to allow a quarterback to throw for 240+ yards or average more than 7.5 yards per attempt in a single game (allowing 6.0 yards per attempt on the season). A lot of that came against poor quarterback play, but the Packers' key here is pressure. They are generating pressure at the second-highest rate in the NFL so far at 42.3%. With 3 games under his belt, Jimmy G has been among the worst QBs under pressure in the league. Under pressure, he has completed just 36% of his passes for 4.4 YPA. (H/T Rich Hribar for the stat).
Garoppolo has 200, 185, and then 324 passing yards against a below-average Pittsburgh defense where the Raiders faced significant negative game script the entire second half.
I also think both sides could get going in the running game here given the matchup, and Aaron Jones returning in full (probably) for the Packers. I would play this to 235.
Risk 1.10 units to win 1 unit
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