Week 15 Saturday Single-Game NFL DFS Snapshot: Steelers and Colts Top FanDuel & DraftKings Plays

Dec 15, 2023

Saturday Single-Game DFS: Steelers at Colts

Maria Lysaker-USA TODAY Sports

Welcome to the Week 15 Showdown snapshot for the second game of our Week 15 Saturday triple-header between the Colts and Steelers. Let’s go over the strategies and top plays for this single-game slate.

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Game Environment

Steelers (+2.5, 19.75) @ Colts (-2.5, 21.25); Over/Under 42

_{^{This chart represents the general offensive strategies for each team when the game outcome is still in question (win probability between 20% and 80%). The final two minutes of each half are also excluded. We’ll include last year’s statistics through Week 4 of the regular season. Teams in the upper-right quadrant pass more often and play faster than the average NFL team in neutral game scripts, and conversely, teams in the lower-left quadrant play slower and run more often than the average NFL team.}}

Quarterback Analysis

_{^{While there may be 22 people on the field for every play, each play and game is heavily dictated by the performance of each team’s quarterback. While efficiency isn’t everything for quarterbacks, it is the best indicator of future performance, so we use a trio of metrics to suss out top performers at the position compared to lackluster ones. xDrive Success %, or True Drive Success Rate, is a measurement of a QB’s ability to turn drives into scores weighted by sample size. EPA or Expected Points Added, is a measurement of the QB’s contribution, both running and throwing, to the team’s scoring and production vs. the average NFL team. Completion % over Expected (CPOE)represents the accuracy and efficiency of a QB’s passes compared to league expectations.}}