NFL SGP Picks: Hyslop's Broncos vs. Saints Parlay for TNF

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Thursday Night Football SGP - Denver Broncos vs New Orleans Saints (+344) - Rebet

Legs One & Two: Bo Nix 172+ Passing Yards & Troy Franklin 31+ Receiving Yards

The first thing any SGP needs is a QB/WR stack. Think about it. It makes sense. The obvious quarterback candidate for this one is Bo Nix. He's coming along in his first year. Just last week, I moved him up to the "not that bad" category of my personal rankings. The kid is pretty inaccurate, but he has moxy, which can't be taught. He'll see a frisky Saints team led by another QB with moxy, Spencer Rattler, so we should see a good, old-fashioned, moxy-off. In a situation like that, we can trust Bo to throw for more than 172 yards. Feels right.

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This is what separates us from the losers out there. While everyone will be flocking to Courtland Sutton, we'll be looking like geniuses with our boy, Troy Franklin. For starters, Franklin and Nix have been showering together for years. Both played together at Oregon. They know each other. And now, with Josh Reynolds out of the mix, we should see just how well these two work together on the field. Franklin earned 65% of the snaps last week, which is by far his career-high. You can't rack up receiving yards from the sidelines, so being on the field is huge. My guess is, with Sutton being locked up by Marshon Lattimore, Franklin could earn an extra target or two. Feels right.

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Leg Three: Javonte Williams 36+ Rushing Yards

The haters are going to say that Javonte has only done this once this season. We know that because that's the dumbest possible thing anyone could say. Newsflash: haters are dumb. Here's the thing: rushing yards are about matchups. All we need is an opponent that should struggle to score points and can't stop the run. That team is the New Orleans Saints. We just saw Sean Tucker go 100+ on them last week. I don't even know if that's a real person. The week before that, it was Kareem Hunt recording his first 100+ yard game in 20 years. My point is, the Saints can't stop the run. At all. Couple that with the fact that their offense is led by a rookie quarterback. The kid has moxy, obviously, but he's still a rookie. This should lead to a game script that allows Denver to run a bit. Feels easy.

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