NFL SGP Picks: Hyslop's Buccaneers vs. Chiefs Parlay for MNF

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Monday Night Football SGP - Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Kansas City Chiefs (+182) - Rebet

Legs One & Two: Rachaad White 3+ Receptions & Bucky Irving 2+ Receptions

This game tonight is a little tricky because I heard it's supposed to be raining pretty hard in the early going. That definitely sucks, but honestly, we can't let a little rain affect us. We need to bet on this game regardless of the weather. The thing is, we dodged a bullet because the two teams playing tonight have the lowest two ADOTs in the NFL so far this season. ADOT stands for "average depth per target." Basically these guys are throwing to guys that are like five yards away. The rain really shouldn't affect their pass game too much. That's the hope, at least. (There is also a chance that this game starts late, and rain doesn't really affect it much at all.)

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With or without rain, I'd expect the Buccaneers to play this thing from behind, which means we'll see them throw the ball a bit. That means the running backs will be involved. On the season, only five teams have targeted running backs more than Tampa, and every one of those teams has played more games. The thing with the Buccaneers is, they split their backfield, so Rachaad White & Bucky Irving will both be catching passes. We just saw Tampa in this game script last week, and both guys flew over these numbers. I think they do it again tonight. Easily.

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Leg Three: Cade Otton 5+ Receptions

Obviously, we're not stopping at two legs for this thing since we're not soft. We're adding a third leg and it's going to be Cade Otton. This one is simple. The Kansas City Chiefs give it up to the tight end position. That's just a big ole fact. On the season, only seven teams have allowed more receptions to the tight end position. Six of those teams have played two more games than the Chiefs. That's crazy. On top of that, with Mike Evans and Chris Godwin out, the Buccaneers will need to rely on someone and that someone is Otton. The man caught nine balls last week. He can catch five tonight. Feels right.

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Lines and prices accurate at the time of posting in Discord

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This sheet from Dan Rivera tracks all my betting picks and those from the rest of the betting staff. Just click on the tab with my name on it for the results.

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