NFL SGP Picks: Hyslop's Texans vs. Cowboys Parlay for MNF
When we find a site that will let us parlay whatever we want, we have to play there. It's literally in the Gambling Constitution. I checked. The thing is, most places are smart enough to not allow parlays that are "too correlated." Some correlation is fine, but there is a line that can be crossed. Rebet actually crosses that line, as you are about to see with the parlay I crafted this morning. It's stupid. Keep reading.
If you don't know what Rebet is, it's a sweepstakes site that is legal basically everywhere. There are many sweepstakes sites popping up, but Rebet is by far the best one (in my opinion), and I think the world should know about them. For that reason, I'm going to post an SGP for Monday & Thursday night every single week right here, and we're going to use Rebet. It gets far better than that, though. You can ride along. All you have to do is, sign up for Rebet using this link and deposit at least $10. Once you do that, you will get a FREE month of 4for4 as well as a FREE month of my DubClub. That's absolutely insane, but that's also what we're willing to do to get you to the promised land. Hats off to us.
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Monday Night Football SGP - Houston Texans vs Dallas Cowboys (+110) - Rebet
Legs One & Two: Cooper Rush 18+ Pass Completions & Cooper Rush 155+ Passing Yards
The haters are going to say that this thing is only +110 so why waste time? I get it. I want to hit big-ass parlays too. But with the way this thing is set up, this almost isn't even a parlay. How? Because the entire thing is ridiculously correlated. Think about it. If Cooper Rush throws for 155 yards, is it even possible for him not to complete 18 passes? I don't think so. The guy is a dink and dunk specialist. We're talking a 6.5 ADOT here, people. That's nothing. The last time Houston played a guy with an ADOT that low (Aaron Rodgers), they allowed 22 completions for 211 yards. We only need 18 for 155.
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Now, I get that Cooper Rush might not be as good as washed Aaron Rodgers but again, we're getting a discount at 18 for 155. Plus, we are highly likely to get the exact game script conducive to a Cooper Rush passing game. The Texans are 7-point favorites, and if we're being honest, they could easily blow Dallas out tonight. Even if we don't get the "Houston kills Dallas" script, we could be fine. Back in 2022, Rush filled in for Dak and went over 155 passing yards in four of five starts. He went for 18+ completions in three of those games. But here's the kicker: the Cowboys only really played from behind in one of those games and Rush went 18-181. The point is, no matter what happens tonight in terms of the scoreboard, Rush should at least complete 18 passes for at least 155 yards.
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Leg Three: Jake Ferguson 3+ Receptions
The last item on the agenda is finding a receiving option for Rush. That's just how correlation works. In my opinion, the smartest thing we can do is find a reception guy and move on with our lives. That guy is Jake Ferguson. It was him the whole time. The guy has played eight games this season, and he's caught at least three balls in all of them. In a game like tonight, he should pretty much be a security blanket for Rush. Last week, in the worst game we've ever seen a quarterback play, Ferguson still caught four balls. Any way we look at it, if Rush throws for 155 yards, Ferguson will have to be involved in at least three of those passing plays. Feels right.
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Lines and prices accurate at the time of posting in Discord
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This sheet from Dan Rivera tracks all my betting picks and those from the rest of the betting staff. Just click on the tab with my name on it for the results.
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