Fantasy Upside
Just about any way you look at it, Aaron Jones is one of the best running backs in the NFL. If only he got the volume like the elite backs got, but even without it he can be an elite option. Per SportsInfoSolutions, he’s top five in most per-play metrics. He’s also top five in most value-added metrics. Jones gets it done on the ground and through the air, averaging about four targets a game, and while Jordan Love caps the ceiling on the offense, Jones has the floor to maintain fantasy success.
Fantasy Downside
The downside comes from having a new quarterback under center and not a former MVP. You could argue that downside is baked into his ADP, but he also has the looming threat of A.J. Dillon as well. Dillon looks to have taken over the goal-line back role taking 17 of the 27 rushing attempts inside the 10 last season and scored five touchdowns to Jones’ zero.
2023 Bottom Line
Jones is a premier fantasy asset with a new starting quarterback and a premier handcuff behind him. While Jones has seemingly lost the goal-line carries, he still does get targeted in the red zone. Per SIS, he was tied for the team lead in receiving touchdowns inside the 10-yard line last season. Jones is still hyper-efficient on a per-play basis and his targets have continued to go up over the last three years. He should maintain his role as the safety valve for a young, inexperienced quarterback. Draft confidently at cost.