Aaron Jones

Week 6 at Bears
As 5.5-point favorites in a projected low-scoring game, the context is set up for Green Bay Packers running back Aaron Jones to produce a strong showing in Week 6. Green Bay heads on the road to Chicago, which is a tough defense for fantasy backs – fourth-fewest schedule-adjusted fantasy points allowed to running backs – but looks like to control the tempo through most of the game. If this is the case, all-purpose lead back Jones should be able to rise above a tough situation and meet our model's expectations: fantasy's RB6 for Week 6.

Week 4 vs. Steelers
It's hard to recommend anything other than starting Aaron Jones with the utmost confidence when he continues to pile on the holy fantasy running back trinity: elite workload, frequent red-zone usage, and exceptional big-play ability. All three of those things should continue to be present for Jones in Week 4, though he is dealing with an ankle injury and will need to be monitored as the week of practices progresses. As of now, there's no indication that he will miss the upcoming contest.

The other blemish on Jones' Week 4 profile is a date with the Pittsburgh Steelers defense, which ranks second-toughest in schedule-adjusted fantasy points allowed to running backs. Still, if Jones is healthy, he is one of the best backs in fantasy football. Fire him up, as our models project him as the RB6 this week.

Week 2 vs. Lions

It's hard to take too much out of Week 1 for Green Bay Packers running back Aaron Jones. The Packers were in a neutral game script (within one score of their opponent) for just four minutes on offense in that contest, and spent the rest of the time playing catch-up from a distinctly distant position. It's good to know that Jones was the main back even while the Packers were in hurry-up mode, but going down by 14 or more points from the second quarter on will dampen any running back's fantasy day.

This game should be much better for Jones, however, as the Packers are 11.5-point favorites by Vegas lines against the Detroit Lions at home in Lambeau Field. This projected positive game script will be a big boon for Jones' rushing numbers as they hope to kill the clock and salt the game away. The Lions allow the sixth-most fantasy points to opposing backfields so far this year, making this an outstanding bounce-back chance for our sixth-highest projected fantasy back in Week 2.