Bernard Pierce was just as disappointing as Ray Rice was last year with his opportunities running in Baltimore. He finished the season with only 436 yards despite getting nearly 36% of the carries for the Ravens. With an average of 2.9 yards per carry, Pierce was disappointing for the team and for fantasy owners alike, who expected big things from him as a handcuff to Ray Rice, who also struggled in 2013.
Fantasy Upside
Pierce should be better this season. The Ravens upgraded their offensive line by adding former Buc Jeremy Zuttah to play Center, and Michael Oher’s departure shouldn’t hurt the team too much, as he was a below average starting tackle anyway. Pierce should get plenty of work behind Rice, especially during the first two weeks while Rice serves a suspension from an offseason altercation, adding to Pierce’s value. Finally, the arrival of new Offensive Coordinator and former Houston Head Coach Gary Kubiak should do wonders for the Baltimore running game. The zone blocking run scheme that made Arian Foster a household name for the Texans should benefit the Ravens running game.
Fantasy Downside
Pierce is coming off a bad season, and he’s still the backup running back. Both factors limit his value, despite the fact that he’ll likely be starting the first two weeks. Fantasy owners who believe last season was an aberration for Pierce also must consider that it could’ve been one for Rice too; and if Rice gets back to his Pro Bowl form, then it could mean that Pierce ends up with closer to 25% of the workload, as he had his rookie season.
Bottom Line
Pierce isn’t a bad risk/reward pick later in the draft and he’s especially valuable as a Rice handcuff. He’ll start the first two weeks, should benefit from the offensive changes, and he’s only 24 years old entering his third season. Additionally, the entire Ravens offense should be better this year, making it more likely he averages closer to his 4.9 yards per carry of 2012, than the 2.9 he averaged last year. Still, he’s a handcuff and a backup past Week 2, limiting his overall value, which is why we have him ranked right around the 40th spot and his ADP is rightly in the 10th round range.