Fantasy Upside
Devonta Freeman's emergence as the No. 1-ranked running back and the No. 2 overall fantasy player was one of the biggest stories in 2015. He exploded for 1,056 rushing yards on 265 carries with 11 touchdowns, and added 578 receiving yards on 73 catches and an additional three touchdowns. Had then-rookie Tevin Coleman not suffered a ribs injury early in the season, perhaps we would have never seen Freeman emerge as a fantasy star. Nevertheless, Freeman is locked in as the lead back on the Falcons' depth chart and will once again play a significant role as both a rusher and receiver in Kyle Shanahan's offense.
Fantasy Downside
The Falcons' coaching staff expressed this offseason that they want to reduce Freeman's workload in 2016. They maintain that they want Freeman and Coleman to compete for opportunities in Shanahan's offense despite Freeman's emergence last season. After touching the ball 337 times in 2015, Freeman ran out of gas down the stretch, which plays into the notion that he and Coleman will be in a timeshare this season. Keep in mind the current coaching regime in Atlanta didn't draft Freeman. They did take Coleman in the third-round of the 2015 NFL Draft, however, so they'll ensure he's given a chance to succeed. As previously mentioned, had Coleman not suffered an injury early last season, Freeman may have been relegated to RB2 duties throughout the year.
2016 Bottom Line
Freeman remains Atlanta's RB1 but it's unlikely that he'll receive 337 touches again unless Coleman's fumbling issues resurface. Thanks to his pass-catching abilities, Freeman has more value in PPR leagues than standard formats. He currently ranks as our RB5 in PPR but drops to RB14 in standard, so be conscientious of your league's scoring before draft night. If you play in a PPR league, Freeman is a RB1 and worth a second-round investment (his current ADP in 10-team leagues is 2.05, while his ADP in 12-team leagues is 2.03). If you play in standard formats, you'll have to weigh whether or not Freeman is worth a second-round pick when Allen Robinson, Brandon Marshall, Jamaal Charles and/or Jordy Nelson will be on the board at the same time.