Fantasy Upside
After a few down years, Doug Martin broke out again in 2015 and nearly led the league in rushing. His big production led to a new contract, and he's ready to do the same thing again in Tampa this season.
Not only did Martin finish with 1,673 yards from scrimmage last season, he also had 288 carries, which was second in the league. He'll get plenty of opportunities in Tampa Bay's offense to try and repeat his success.
Fantasy Downside
While it's nice Martin played well last season, it's hard to ignore the two years prior. Yes, he had injuries cut his seasons short, but even beforehand, he wasn't playing well.
His usage could also come into play as the Bucs have a talented Charles Sims playing behind Martin. It obviously didn't factor in a year ago, but it's possible the coaches are looking for a way to share the workload.
Bottom Line
Martin's overall numbers might take a slight hit, but overall, he should finish on the low-end of the RB1 spectrum.