2022 Fantasy Upside
Ezekiel Elliott is one of the most polarizing fantasy players entering the 2022 NFL season. Many see a running back workhorse that has averaged 1,231 rushing yards, 48 receptions, and 11.3 total touchdowns per year since entering the NFL. Critics will argue that Elliott’s rush attempts, receptions, and receiving yards have all dropped three years in a row. Owner Jerry Jones reiterated this week that the majority of running back touches will again go to Elliott, projecting him again as a Top 12 running back assuming health for the majority of the season. The fantasy upside is obvious for a three-down running back that has produced a Top-10 snap share in every year of his NFL career.
2022 Fantasy Downside
Elliott’s snap share did drop from second overall in 2020 to 10th overall last season. Backup Tony Pollard’s role continues to increase, with three straight seasons of an increase in rushing attempts, receptions, and receiving yards. There is little debate that Pollard is the more efficient running back, but will the Cowboys coaching staff alter their approach?
2022 Bottom Line
Ezekiel Elliott brings one of the safest fantasy running back floors this season. He is likely to maintain his role as the preferred goal line option while hovering around 45-50 receptions. Beyond the season, Elliott’s contract contains no guaranteed money, putting his future with the team in jeopardy. That should provide fantasy drafters comfort, knowing both sides have motivation to get the most out of Elliott’s production in 2022.