Fantasy Upside
Since his arrival in Detroit in 2014, Golden Tate has been a reliable fantasy performer, particularly in PPR formats. He’s had at least 100 targets in each of the past five seasons and had three years with more than 1,000 receiving yards during that span. Tate joins a Giants team with 124 vacated targets from the Odell Beckham Jr. trade. While those targets will likely be spread around to Evan Engram and Sterling Shepard, those two already combined for 171 targets last season, meaning Tate should get the bulk of those looks.
Fantasy Downside
Tate operates mostly out of the slot and his career 11.8 yard average per catch is a far cry from Beckham Jr.’s 13.7 from a year ago. So even if Tate gets the same volume, he’s unlikely to be nearly as productive with it. He also struggles to find the end zone. He hasn’t scored more than five touchdowns since 2015, and never more than seven in a season. He also gets a considerable downgrade at quarterback in Eli Manning after catching passes from Matthew Stafford, Carson Wentz and Nick Foles a year ago. Tate also has a looming four-game suspension, although he is in the process of appealing it.
2019 Bottom Line
With a ninth-round price tag in 12-team leagues, Tate is a little undervalued right now, especially in PPR formats. While he doesn’t have a lot of upside at this point in his career, he should get enough volume to put up very reliable WR3 numbers throughout the season, even if he ends up as the third or fourth option in the passing game behind Shepard, Engram and Saquon Barkley. Tate isn’t worth a huge investment, but he might be one of those boring late-round picks that produces week in and week out. His ADP may drop even further with the suspension news, making him more valuable.