James White
  • James White

  • RB
  • ,
  • 32
  • 205 lbs
  • 5' 10"
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Week 13 Projection
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Scouting report

by Andrew Fleischer

NE RB James White - Week 14 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 14 vs Kansas City Chiefs
James White went fully nuclear in Week 14, catching eight passes for 98 yards and two touchdowns in addition to his 79 yards rushing on 14 attempts. White outscored every other running back on the slate despite getting just five total touches in the first half. The could portend a James White renaissance in the fantasy playoffs, or it may have just been a result of a facing a Houston team that has a potent offense and a poor run defense.

Either way, the Patriots' Week 13 matchup with Kansas City offers immense potential for White. The Chiefs rank 31st in aFPA to running backs, and they're averaging 29 points scored per game, offering a similar potential game script to last week's. Only one player has more than White's 17 red-zone targets, and that's teammate Julian Edelman with 18. It would be foolish to expect White to outscore every starting running back again, but White should be an auto-start as an RB2 with RB1 potential in the event of a shootout.

by Andrew Fleischer

NE RB James White - Week 13 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 13 at Houston Texans
The Patriots' Week 12 game against the Cowboys appeared to lend itself to a big game for James White but instead resulted in one of White's worst fantasy performances of the season. He was targeted just three times and caught a single pass for -6 yards, and saw his lowest snap share of the season at 30%. The Patriots leaned heavily on Sony Michel against Dallas, but that shouldn't define roles moving forward given New England's tendencies as a game-plan offense.

The Houston Texans have allowed the most running back receptions of any team along with the second-most receiving yards, and their four receiving touchdowns allowed to running backs are tied for the third-most. With Phillip Dorsett and Mohamed Sanu looking likely to return, White should see plenty of favorable coverage as a receiver. White should be an essential part of the Patriots offense in its most efficient form moving forward, and for this week, he's a high-end RB3 start with a vaulted ceiling.

by Andrew Fleischer

NE RB James White - Week 12 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 12 vs Dallas Cowboys
Like teammate Sony Michel, James White had his worst fantasy output of the season in Week 11, finishing as the RB36 with just 36 total yards. White remains the RB30 overall on the season, and retains a dominant target share at the position, as only Christian McCaffrey and Austin Ekeler have more than White's 62 running back targets.

The Patriots will be without recently acquired wide receiver Mohamed Sanu in Week 12, leaving them with Julian Edelman, rookie Jakobi Meyers, and newly-returned rookie N'Keal Harry as the starting wide receivers. White should see even more work as a receiver than he usually does. While the Cowboys haven't yet allowed a receiving touchdown to an opposing running back, they have allowed the ninth-most receptions and the seventh-most yards to the position. White is the ninth-most frequently targeted player in the red zone (including wide receivers and tight ends), and along with some increased volume likely, he's a fairly-safe RB2 as usual.

by Andrew Fleischer

NE RB James White - Week 11 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 11 at Philadephia Eagles
James White's five-game zero-touchdown streak finally ended in Week 9 against the Ravens, when the receiving specialist ironically scored on a rushing attempt from the one-yard line. White led Patriots running backs with a 42% snap share, and for the first time this season, he had more rushing attempts (nine) than passing targets (three). White was the RB11 for the week and stands as the RB32 through Week 10 in 0.5 PPR formats.

The Patriots face an Eagles defense in Week 11 that's allowing just 21.6 aFPA to opposing running backs, fewer than all but eight teams. White does benefit from a pass-oriented game plan as the primary pass-catching running back for New England, and it wouldn't be surprising to see White lead the Patriots backfield in snap percentage as he did in Week 9. While this defensive matchup doesn't project to be easily exploitable, White's target volume and continued heavy red zone usage make him a relatively safe bet for RB2 numbers.

by Andrew Fleischer

NE RB James White - Week 9 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 9 at Baltimore Ravens
James White 41% snap share matched Sony Michel's exactly in Week 8, and White's 75 yards on four receptions actually outproduced Michel's totals, earning White an RB26 finish with 9.9 fantasy points. White is actually averaging exactly 9.9 fantasy points per game in 0.5 PPR scoring formats, fourth-most on the Patriots behind Brady. Edelman, and Michel. White garnered another red zone target, leaving him with 12 targets as a receiver in the red zone through eight weeks, tied for second-most, yet he's still scored just one touchdown.

Week 9 presents a Patriots matchup with the Ravens that should play out in favor of White, as Baltimore's defense creates a matchup that's better attacked via the air than on the ground. White's 52 targets are the second-most among all NFL running backs, and his 0.41 PPE points per snap leads all Patriots running backs. White projects as a low-end RB2 for Week 9.

by Andrew Fleischer

NE RB James White - Week 8 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 8 vs Cleveland Browns
James White has averaged a 42% snap share through seven games but saw a season-high 54% snap share in Week 7. He turned eight targets (nearly his 7.8 per-game average) into seven receptions and 59 yards and a fantasy RB15 ranking for the week. White remains a strong candidate for positive touchdown regression, as he's caught just one touchdown despite his 11 red-zone targets which lead all players, wide receivers and tight ends included.

The Browns have actually limited receiving production by opposing running backs effectively, as their 29 receptions allowed to the position ties them for eighth-fewest, but White's target volume and efficiency make him virtually matchup-proof. White remains a weekly RB2 start with significant touchdown upside in this Week 8 matchup with Cleveland.

by Andrew Fleischer

NE RB James White - Week 7 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 7 at New York Jets
James White had nine receptions on nine targets in Week 6, and those receptions along with his 46 receiving yards made him the RB30 for the week. White is nothing if not consistent in fantasy, finishing between RB22 and RB30 every week this season in 0.5 PPR scoring formats. White has the highest target rate on the Patriots roster at 25.8%, which is what gives him such a solid floor week-to-week. This remains true in the red zone, as White's nine red-zone targets are tied for the most in the NFL, while White has just one touchdown. It's just a matter of time before positive reversion to the mean results in some RB1 weeks for White.

The Patriots travel to New Jersey to face the New York Jets in Week 7, and while they've allowed just 23.0 aFPA to running backs overall, the 13th-lowest figure, they've been somewhat more vulnerable to pass-catching running backs. The Jets have allowed the 15th-most receptions and 14th-most receiving yards to the position, while allowing the eighth-fewest rushing yards. The return of linebacker C.J. Mosley could lower White's ceiling, but starting him as anything more than an RB3 is a bet on him scoring a touchdown.

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