Fantasy Upside
White's upside resides in PPR leagues. The Super Bowl LI hero was the RB22 in that format upon Tom Brady's return in Week 5. The Patriots also extended White's contract for three years, with $4.7 million guaranteed. Compare that to Dion Lewis' $600,000 guarantee, and it seems evident White has secured the passing down role. White could also see a slight increase in expected targets with Julian Edelman out for the season.
Fantasy Downside
4for4's Chris Raybon wrote an extensive study on what to expect from the Patriots backfield. On White: "Given a target expectation in the low 60s to the low 70s, and anywhere from 3–6 carries per game, if White performs at his baseline career efficiency we can expect roughly anywhere from 128–164 PPR points and 83–112 standard points. That would have been good for an RB24–RB38 finish in PPR and an RB29–RB45 finish in standard in 2016." Therefore, White's fantasy downside is as an inconsistent option week-to-week with only some flex appeal.
2017 Bottom Line
White may be best suited for best-ball formats, as it will be difficult to predict how many touches he will get week-to-week. However, at his depressed ninth-tenth round ADP, he may be worth the gamble in PPR leagues, just in case the Patriots go more pass heavy in 2017. Just don't expect anything higher than RB2 results in PPR.