Josh Gordon
  • Josh Gordon

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Scouting report

by Andrew Fleischer

NE WR Josh Gordon - Week 4 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 4 at Buffalo Bills
With the recent departure of Antonio Brown, Josh Gordon moves back into the top outside receiver role for the Patriots, which should be a boon to his fantasy value. His current standing as the fantasy WR44 should only improve, and his 88% snap share along with his 11 targets in Week 3 were encouraging signs. After being targeted on just 8.7% of his snaps in the first two weeks, that percentage jumped to 16.2% in Week 3.

Josh Gordon will go up against a talented Bills secondary in Week 4 that's 16th in the league with 35.4 Schedule-Adjusted Fantasy Points Allowed (aFPA) to wide receivers. Even with a game script that may favor the run, Gordon is still a good bet for volume, as the Patriots are tied for the second-highest pace of play on offense. Gordon also commands high-value targets, and is always a threat for a few deep receptions in any game. He's a fine WR2 for the week with significant touchdown upside.

by Andrew Fleischer

NE WR Josh Gordon - Week 3 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 3 vs New York Jets
Josh Gordon is the New England wide receiver whose upside was among the most-diminished with the arrival of Antonio Brown. Gordon currently ranks as the fantasy WR46, and despite seeing a 73% snap share, he's only seeing a target on 8.7% of those snaps. Gordon aDOT of 13.6 yards led Patriots receivers in 2018, and his 2019 aDOT of 12.7 is in the same neighborhood, so he's still seeing high-value targets. As Antonio Brown begins to draw extra defensive attention as he's used more heavily, it should benefit Gordon.

New England's Week 3 matchup with the Jets may not present the easiest matchup for Gordon to exploit, but he is capable of enough big plays to make up for reduced target volume. Gordon caught more than five passes last season with the Patriots, but still managed to put together a number of WR1 games. He's a risky start as a WR3, but he does have a higher ceiling than most receivers ranked in his vicinity.

by Andrew Fleischer

NE WR Josh Gordon - Week 2 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 2 at Miami Dolphins
From Week 4 through Week 11 in 2018, Josh Gordon averaged 7.5 targets per game and 77.4 receiving yards. In Week 1 against the Steelers, Gordon turned 4 targets into 3 receptions for 73 yards and a touchdown. While he's not receiving the target volume to make him a no-doubt weekly WR1, the value of his targets keeps him in the WR2 conversation. Gordon's average depth of target was 14.8 yards in Week 1, 15th-highest among all wide receivers with at least 4 targets.

The Patriots face a Dolphins team in Week 2 that by all appearances has an eye on the top of the 2020 NFL draft. The Dolphins allowed six passing touchdowns from Lamar Jackson, and now they get to face Tom Brady. Josh Gordon also received two of the Patriots' five red-zone targets and converted one into a touchdown, and he's a good bet to repeat the feat in Week 2.

Antonio Brown's arrival certainly muddies Gordon's upside for 2019 a bit, but even if Brown's legal issues don't keep him off the field, it will also be difficult for opposing defenses to devote extra resources to defending Gordon moving forward. It's hard to beat this matchup and situation for Gordon in Week 2.

by Andrew Fleischer

NE WR Josh Gordon - Week 1 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 1 vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Josh Gordon was traded to the Patriots in Week 3 of the 2018 season. He missed the final two weeks of the Patriots 2018 season and the entirety of the playoffs after again violating the NFL's substance abuse policy. From Week 6 through Week 13 as a starter, Gordon was the WR22, and he returned from suspension in late August to play in New England's final preseason game.

Gordon enters Week 1 with a full week of offseason practice, and a year of experience in the Patriots offensive system. He should see a full starter's workload as Tom Brady's primary outside wide receiver, seeing primary coverage from Steelers cornerback Steven Nelson. Nelson will have his hands full with a focused Gordon, who projects as a WR3.

by Steve Andress

NE WR Josh Gordon - Week 15 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 15 at Pittsburgh Steelers

As usual, there are a lot of reasons to like Patriots players in fantasy this week. New England has an implied team total of 27.5, among the highest in the league. Only Baltimore is averaging more offensive plays per game this season than New England, and only Baltimore and Dallas have more offensive plays over the past three weeks. Plus, this game has an over/under of 52, among the highest of Week 15. Pittsburgh ranks fifth in aFPA to WRs, but with Josh Gordon's play-making ability and the previously stated factors, he's again a boom-or-bust WR2 option.

by Steve Andress

NE WR Josh Gordon - Week 14 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 14 at Miami Dolphins

The New England Patriots head to Miami with a top five implied team total, facing a defense that ranks just 29th in total defense this season. New England struggled at Hard Rock Stadium surprisingly, but this Dolphins defensive unit doesn't have the pieces it had last year. Miami ranks just 21st in aFPA to WRs, and that was before top cornerback Xavien Howard was ruled out of this game. However, Josh Gordon will likely be matched up with rising corner talent Minkah Fitzpatrick. That makes him a less attractive play than Julian Edelman but still no worse than a FLEX in Week 14.

by Steve Andress

NE WR Josh Gordon - Week 13 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 13 vs. Minnesota Vikings

The New England Patriots have a healthy implied team total of 27 points this week in a game hovering around an over/under of 50. Minnesota ranks top five in aFPA to WRs. Rob Gronkowski's return last week put a dent into Gordon's targets, only getting five of them, his lowest total since Week 5. That decrease in targets moves him down our rankings this week to a FLEX option with so many options now back in this offense, instead of the WR2 he was before. The tough match-up is also a factor for Week 13.

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