When teams are bad, they look for bright spots. The 2014 Oakland Raiders, in the midst of yet another losing season, were hosting the Kansas City Chiefs on a Thursday night in November. Few gave Oakland a chance to win the game. And win they did, thanks to the play of running back Latavius Murray. Murray was knocked out of the game early due to a concussion, but on just four carries, he rushed for 112 yards and two touchdowns. The Raiders looked foolish for not giving Murray a chance earlier, as they had been relying on Maurice Jones-Drew and Darren McFadden, two players in decline. Murray heads into the 2015 season as a starter and with a reputation as a fantasy sleeper. Will Latavius justify the hype?
Fantasy Upside
Outside of a rough outing against Arizona, Murray looked good in the preseason, averaging over five yards a carry against Minnesota and St. Louis. That was encouraging, as the Raiders have a new coaching staff and system. And the new staff would like a strong running game to ease the pressure on quarterback Derek Carr. Although Oakland’s offensive line is not stellar, they did acquire a good center in free agency in Rodney Hudson.
Fantasy Downside
Murray’s stock has to be downgraded in PPR leagues. Although Latavius has been an acceptable pass catcher in the past, Oakland signed Roy Helu, a strong receiver who will play a lot in passing situations. With the Raiders largely expected to spend another season in the AFC West cellar, Helu could siphon plenty of touches away from Murray. His stellar effort last year against the Chiefs was marginalized somewhat as the season progressed, as he failed to score another touchdown despite a larger role.
Bottom Line
As Nelson Muntz once put it, “he who ha ha's last ha ha's best.” Murray has the upside to enable you to “ha ha” at your league mates. His ADP continues to be in the third/fourth round range. That makes him an attractive target for fantasy owners who prefer to stock up at other positions in the first two rounds. If Murray gives you the same or more production as runners taken ahead of him (a distinct possibility) while you get stars at other spots, you could be laughing your way to a title.