Fantasy Upside
Leonard Fournette's time in Jacksonville appeared to be at an end as trade rumors circulated prior to the NFL Draft. But nothing ever materialized and even though the team declined to pick up the fifth-year option on the former first-rounder's contract, everything appears to be pretty dandy in Duval. "I think the mindset is that we're going to go forward with Leonard on the team," GM Dave Caldwell said. Fournette's offseason has been intriguing. The running back racked up 1,152 yards on 265 carries and also enjoyed a breakout year in the passing-catching department, hauling in 76 receptions for 522 yards.
Fantasy Downside
The receiving totals could change, however, with Chris Thompson on board. New OC Jay Gruden effectively used Thompson during their years together in Washington and could again.
2020 Bottom Line
So how can Fournette improve? Positive touchdown regression. Per FantasyPros, there have been 372 running backs who've totaled at least 150 touches over the last 10 years. There are just 14 who found the end zone at a worse rate than Fournette did in 2019, as he scored just three touchdowns on 341 touches, or once every 113.7 touches. Doubling that touchdown total doesn't seem like even a slight reach.