Fantasy Upside
In four seasons with the Saints, Mark Ingram has carried 582 times for 2,426 yards (4.2 YPC) and 20 touchdowns. He's also added 53 receptions for 288 yards and should be the lead back in Sean Payton's system as the Saints shift their offensive identity from pass-happy and up-tempo to more of a balanced approach. In 13 games last season, Ingram had 226 carries for 964 yards and nine touchdowns. Despite the offseason addition of C.J. Spiller, Ingram is a good bet for around 15 carries per game and should receive the majority of the goal line work. Payton knows that 36-year-old Drew Brees can't continue to put the ball in the air 440-plus times a season. With Jimmy Graham now in Seattle, Ingram stands to benefit from Payton's desire to run the ball more frequently than in year's past.
Fantasy Downside
Even if Ingram gets a bump in carries, Payton has always based his running back usage on the situation. Spiller and Khiry Robinson will cut into Ingram's touches, especially Spiller when it comes to screen passes. Only once has Ingram played a full 16-game season, which came in his sophomore campaign of 2012. Just last year he dealt with ankle, toe and shoulder injuries while limited to 13 games.
Bottom Line
Ingram finished as fantasy's No. 15 running back last year and currently ranks as our No. 17 RB for 2015. The addition of Spiller hurts Ingram's value but the team's shift in offensive philosophy gives his outlook a slight bump from last year. If he stays healthy, he projects to receive around 240 carries, which should translate to roughly 900-1,000 yards and 6-8 scores. Those numbers put him in the mid-RB2 category and the middle rounds of your draft.