Michael Pittman Jr.
  • Michael Pittman Jr.

  • WR
  • , Indianapolis Colts
  • 27
  • 223 lbs
  • 6' 4"
  • USC
PtsRecYdsRecTDRecRuYds
53.24122350
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Scouting report

by Brandon Niles

IND WR Michael Pittman Jr. - Week 3 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 3 at Tennessee Titans

Michael Pittman Jr. finally had that breakout game we’ve been waiting for last week against the Rams, with eight catches on 12 targets for 123 yards. It’d be nice to see him find the end zone for what would be just his second career touchdown, but fantasy managers should be happy to see him produce with the opportunity he has.

This week, Pittman has a ton of upside against a Titans defense that gave up big numbers to the wide receiver position in each of the first two games, including eight catches for 178 yards and a touchdown to Tyler Lockett last week. Pittman is risky, and we have him ranked as a low-end WR3, but the matchup and potential make him an interesting swing for desperate fantasy managers.

by Brandon Niles

IND WR Michael Pittman Jr. - Week 2 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 2 vs. Los Angeles Rams

Michael Pittman Jr. was disappointing in Week 1 against a Seattle defense that really struggled last year against the pass. He caught just three passes on four targets for 29 yards. He did play 97% of the team’s offensive snaps, but was clearly outperformed by Zach Pascal, and it’ll be hard to bank on him until he shows something.

This week, Pittman Jr. faces a tough Rams defense that was tops in the NFL in aFPA to opposing wide receivers in 2020, and just demolished the Bears’ passing game on Sunday night. He’s worth holding on to based on his snap count and potential, but I’m going to need to see it before I trust him in my lineup.

by Brandon Niles

IND WR Michael Pittman Jr. - Week 1 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 1 vs. Seattle Seahawks

Michael Pittman Jr. showed flashes as a rookie but still ended the year with 503 yards on 40 receptions and just a single touchdown. His size should make him a better red-zone target than that moving forward, but the lack of scoring was certainly surprising, considering his 61 targets. The Colts look like they’re going to run the ball this year, so fantasy managers should be wary starting Pittman right away. It is better to take a wait-and-see approach, even in what looks like a good matchup against the Seahawks in Week 1.

by Brandon Niles

IND WR Michael Pittman Jr. - 2021 Fantasy Football Outlook

Fantasy Upside

Pittman showed flashes in his rookie year on his way to 40 catches, 503 yards and a touchdown. He had a nice outing against the Titans in Week 10, catching seven of the eight balls thrown his way for 101 yards, then followed that up with his sole touchdown a week later. Pittman could theoretically benefit from the addition of Carson Wentz at quarterback. If Wentz can get back to his 2017 form – the last time he was under Frank Reich – then the upside is there for Pittman to take a large leap.

Fantasy Downside

Have we asked the question about whether Pittman is any good? I’m not saying he definitely isn’t, but his PFF rating as a receiver among rookies last year wasn’t good. He was ranked 17th last season among rookie wide receivers, right in between Jalen Reagor and Devin Duvernay. It’s a small sample size to go off of, but with the injuries the Colts sustained at the position a year ago, you’d like to have seen Pittman step up a little more than double-digit fantasy points in just two games. Also, if Wentz is a trainwreck, this could be a long season for the Colts’ pass catchers.

2021 Bottom Line

Right now, Pittman is still worth targeting based on his upside with a 12th-round ADP. But that’s risen over the course of the offseason and he’s now going a round ahead of T.Y. Hilton who was still the top receiver for the Colts last year. Pittman is a boom-bust pick worth the low price tag but watch that ADP. If he keeps rising, Hilton is going to be the more valuable draft pick.

by Brandon Niles

IND WR Michael Pittman Jr. - Week 16 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 16 at Pittsburgh Steelers

Michael Pittman Jr. is an interesting prospect for the Colts and has long-term dynasty value, but he’s not producing with his current opportunity, making it hard to trust him, especially so late in the fantasy season. He has single-digit fantasy points in each of his last four games, and has hit double digits only twice all season. Regardless of matchup, it’s too risky to trust him in most fantasy leagues. This is championship week, and hopefully, you have better options.

by Brandon Niles

IND WR Michael Pittman Jr. - Week 15 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 15 vs. Houston Texans

Michael Pittman has a ton of upside and a great matchup this week, but fantasy owners in the playoffs should be wary of using him anyway. T.Y. Hilton seems to have found his stride – and relationship with Philip Rivers – and Pittman has only seen double-digit PPR fantasy points in two games this season, and not since four games ago, before Hilton’s resurgence. He has some upside as a deep-league WR3, but in most leagues, he’s too risky to trust.

by Brandon Niles

IND WR Michael Pittman Jr. - Week 14 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 14 at Las Vegas Raiders

Michael Pittman Jr. caught all five balls thrown his way last week, gaining 46 yards. For the hype he’s had, he’s actually only had one game over 100 yards and only one game with more than five receptions. He also only has one touchdown on the season. Pittman has upside, and he’s definitely someone to hold on to in dynasty formats, but as a weekly starter, he’s been tough to count on. Even in a pretty good matchup this week against the Raiders, who rank 19th in aFPA to opposing wide receivers, Pittman should only be considered a deep WR3 flyer.