Fantasy Upside
Mike Evans has played six years in the NFL and has produced six 1,000-yard seasons. He finished as the No. 3 wide receiver (half-PPR) in average fantasy points per game last year, trailing only Michael Thomas and his teammate Chris Godwin. Evans was also fairly consistent in 2019 finishing with 50+ yards in all but two games (and he was sick in one of those games). And despite logic having you believe Tom Brady’s arm can’t throw deep anymore, NFL.com’s Next-Gen stats had Brady as the fourth-best deep passer in 2019. Evans shines as a deep threat as his 17.3 ypc was fourth-highest among receivers with 50+ receptions.
Fantasy Downside
Evans has had some durability issues, only playing in two full seasons throughout his career. While he hasn’t ended up missing too many games, sometimes he plays hurt and struggles, which is almost worse than a straight inactive. Evans also has an issue with drops/catches. He ranked 169th out of eligible pass catchers (per Pro Football Reference) with a 56.8% catch percentage. If he maintains that catch percentage while seeing fewer targets, it’ll be an issue.
2020 Bottom Line
It’s hard to go wrong with Evans. He’s produced in six straight seasons, making him a fairly safe option moving forward. He turns 27 before the season starts, which is still when we see receivers in their peak. We project slightly fewer per-game averages from Evans in 2020, but nothing drastic. He’s still in WR1 territory, and we expect him to finish with his seventh 1,000-yard season.