Fantasy Upside
Mike Gesicki swapped teams in the AFC East, going from Miami to New England. He reunites with Bill O'Brien. The two were together at Penn State. He joins a Patriots team that can run plenty of 12 personnel. Jonnu Smith is gone (traded to Atlanta), so Gesicki will pair with Hunter Henry. Henry and Smith combined for 97 targets last season, with 59 going to Henry. Gesicki could see a pretty even split with Henry for targets.
Fantasy Downside
Gesicki has to bounce back from what was a very quiet final season in Miami. He caught just 32 passes and played less than half of Miami's offensive snaps. New England's tight ends were also pretty quiet last season. Despite the 97 combined targets, Henry and Smith combined for just two touchdowns, both from Henry.
2023 Bottom Line
Patriots tight ends haven't been very fantasy-friendly lately and Gesicki probably won't magically change that this season. He's a nice target for Mac Jones, but he'll have a tough time cracking TE1 territory on a weekly basis. Henry is still around to take targets away and this offense goes through Rhamondre Stevenson.