Fantasy Upside
Ryan Mathews led the NFL in carries over the final five games of the regular season. Even with the recent acquisition of Donald Brown -- a favorite of GM Tom Telesco -- the Bolts have no plans to lighten Mathews' load in 2014. "We know Ryan is our bell cow," Telesco said. As the San Diego Union-Tribune noted, "Ball control was part of the Chargers' identity in 2013. Moving forward, the Chargers want to add more speed on offense. Their focus is not sustaining long drives. They want touchdowns, however they come, and it's expected they'll continue to work to find more explosiveness in the passing game over the coming weeks and months. ..." That said, free agency thus far has strengthened last year's recipe. San Diego has made two key signings on offense. Brown is one. David Johnson, a former Steelers blocking TE and FB, is the other. The entire starting offensive line from 2013 remains on the roster. So even with Brown's arrival, Mathews is in good position to build on his impressive 2013 season. Draft accordingly.
Fantasy Downside
Mathews has had injury issues in the past (one could argue a pair of broken collarbones were freakish) and ball security has been an issue.
Bottom Line
Despite the arrival of Brown, the presence of Danny Woodhead and the departure of former coordinator Ken Whisenhunt, there's not much evidence suggesting a major change of roles going forward. Given that, Mathews is looking like a pretty solid value play at this point.