Fantasy Upside
After missing half of last season with a freak wrist injury in Week 1, Vereen finished strong and ended as RB35 anyways (PPR). In the eight games he played, he averaged nearly 11.4 touches a game - for 97 total touches. The fact 47 of his touches were receptions shows Vereen's importance and usage in the passing game. Blount is gone and Ridley occasionally sits on the bench after fumbling, potentially leaving the door open for Vereen to get more involved in the running game, as well. If that happened, it seems likely Vereen would finish as a very high end RB2, or even a RB1. Without that happening, it seems likely Vereen would still finish as a RB2 in PPR formats. High floor players with upside are exactly what we look for in early to mid round picks.
Fantasy Downside
Belichick has a long history of shuffling RBs around on gameday. As a result, Vereen may sit out a series here or there in favor of Bolden, White, or some other RB we haven't even considered yet. He may not even pick up extra work if Ridley is on the bench that day, or perhaps Ridley gets hot one day and dominates the RB snaps. Ridley is certainly talented enough to do that, and it's especially possible if the Patriots are leading. While Vereen will generally maintain his passing down work when healthy, there is cause to be concerned as to his ability to tap into his theoretical upside. It's not unlikely he may flourish some weeks, while offering some inconsistent performances in other weeks.
Bottom Line
4for4 ADP has Vereen with the same ADP in standard and PPR league. Considering that, I'd be heavily targeting him in PPR formats, where we rank him as RB17 as opposed to RB25 in standard. His average of over five receptions per game last year is certainly appealing.
With his passing game involvement, Vereen starts the season with the recognition of being the only Patriot running back we can feel confident about, week in and week out. Draft Vereen with confidence, especially in PPR leagues.