Thomas Jones
- RB
- ,
- 46
- 212 lbs
- 5' 10"
- N/A
Week 12 Projection
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With mini-camp freshly behind them and training camp just around the corner, the Jets and their fans have plenty of reasons to be excited about Rex Ryan's second season.
LaDainian Tomlinson shouldn't be one of them.
One of Gang Green's more curious moves this offseason was jettisoning Thomas Jones after a 1,402-yard rushing year and signing Tomlinson to replace him.
Tomlinson's low-cost signing had all the makings of a marketing gambit to juice stagnant PSL sales that -- like the Darrelle Revis and Nick Mangold contract scuffles -- are casting a considerable black cloud over the Jets' otherwise promising hopes.
If only the Jets could have signed the 2007 Tomlinson.
Even without pads or contact, it didn't take a grizzled NFL scout to notice in the Jets' recent workouts that Tomlinson just doesn't look like the same player who terrified opposing defenses with his slippery moves and sublime hands for nine seasons with the Chargers.
Tomlinson appears bulkier and definitely a step (or three) slower than he did in his prime, which is to be expected from a running back who next week turns 31 -- increasingly the point of no return in the NFL -- with his incredible amount of mileage.
Tomlinson could still have some fantasy value depending on his role, but might be a riskier start than he was in the past. Shonn Greene figures to get a bulk of the work in the Jets run-first offense, and this news could only boost his value.
When the Jets signed future Hall of Famer LaDainian Tomlinson, it was widely assumed that he'd play a complementary role, with Shonn Greene rising to "feature-back" status. Hold everything. According to running backs coach Anthony Lynn, "I see myself as having two starters."
What Lynn meant is this: Playing time will be determined, in large part, by game situations and matchups. As he explained the other day, "It depends on the flow of the game. If we're better off in our big personnel, Shonn will get more touches. If we go little, like we did last year with Leon (Washington) in our nickel package, L.T. will get more touches. It's all situational."
Lynn compared it to the Washington-Thomas Jones tandem last season. If that's the case, the workloads will be fairly close to even. Before Washington's season-ending injury in Week 7, he had 70 carries and 15 catches for 85 touches. Jones had 96 carries and four receptions for 100 touches. That's almost a 50-50 split.
Is Tomlinson, who turns 31 on Wednesday, up to 14 touches per game -- 14 productive touches? There was nothing he did in OTAs or minicamp (at least nothing open to the media) that made you say, "Wow, he's back." But let's not send him to the glue factory just yet. Making a definitive statement about a running back in non-contact drills is like critiquing a movie based on the trailer.
In the end, it is still far more likely that Greene will have the bigger workload. Tomlinson isn't the player he used to be, and while he remains a somewhat useful fantasy player at times, Greene remains the New York back to draft. We have him at 12 while LT is at 34.
After just a three-day period of work, TE Tony Moeaki has proven that he has the both the best hands and the most ability to create mismatches among the players in his position group. Putting on pads will yield a lot more info on Moeaki…
Behind Thomas Jones and Jamaal Charles are a number of runners trying to find their way onto a roster with limited spots at the position. Kestahn Moore is still one of those players, although he does have one less runner to compete with following the release of Kolby Smith. Moore can become more than just a pleasant surprise if he displays the same speed and power with the pads as he did without the pads.
WR Jerheme Urban looks to be in line for the most extensive action of his career. If he’s not in the Chiefs game plan once the regular season rolls around, something will have to take a downturn in training camp and/or the preseason. Urban left OTAs as one of the Chiefs most reliable targets.
Moeaki could be an interesting name to watch at TE, but TE is a pretty deep fantasy position. It's early, but Urban sounds like he could make an impact, and there's always a need for WRs. While you maybe shouldn't have high expectations, these are guys to keep an eye on through KC camp.
Kansas City coach Todd Haley spoke at the NFL owners meeting Tuesday.
He covered a lot of ground, centering on the team’s changes this offseason. Here is some of what Haley had to say about RBs Jamaal Charles and Thomas Jones:
“In this day and age, it's a concern for everybody regardless of who it is because those guys talk a severe beating. If you don't have another quality back that you feel like if something happens to one or the other, there's a marked dropoff, then you're probably not doing yourself justice. I wouldn't say it's about Jamaal so much as it's about the way of the league right now. You need two quality backs.”
“I don't want to set a role for Thomas. Thomas first of all came in and really blew us all away just with his attitude and his commitment and love for the game and desire to keep playing and playing at a high level and to be part of something special. That was something big on his list. He had been a couple of different places where it turned around and he liked that feeling. He wanted to be a part of it here. We're all just really excited to get him on to the team and get him in the building. I know he's excited about getting going. I'm a big believer in letting these guys play and compete and that was a big part of getting Thomas in here was to bring the level of competition to what maybe we didn't have.”
Charles will be one of the bigger fantasy question marks this season as far as what his value will be. He was pretty much a fantasy stud after taking over for the departed Larry Johnson last year. He's definitely the more dynamic back of the two and should get a majority of the work. Like Haley said, this is a trend in the league now outside of a few backs, like Chris Johnson and Steven Jackson for example. Considering that, why not own Charles. He looks like a top-ten RB and maybe even a mid-to-late first round pick.
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