Todd Gurley Fantasy Football Week 12 Scouting Report

Todd Gurley
RB
,

Age: 30
Weight: 224 lbs
Height: 6' 1"
College:

ADP:
Depth Chart Ranking: N/A

Pts	RuYds	RuTD	Rec	RecYds
0	0	0	0	0

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Scouting report

by Andrew Fleischer

· Sep 19, 2019 · 12:03 PM EDT

LAR RB Todd Gurley - Week 3 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 3 at Cleveland Browns
Todd Gurley and Malcolm Brown saw a 64%/36% split of offensive snaps in Week 2, which was a slight increase in favor of Brown from their Week 1 70%/27% split. Gurley was more efficient with his carries, finishing as the fantasy RB14 in 0.5 PPR scoring. Gurley also saw four red-zone touches to Brown's two in Week 2, which helps ease concerns that Gurley had ceded red-zone work to Brown.

The Rams travel to Cleveland to face the Browns in Week 3, who have allowed 159 total rushing yards to running backs, 12th-fewest, but they've also allowed the second-most receiving yards to the position at 143. Vegas projects this game to be the second-highest-scoring matchup of the week, with only a one-point spread in favor of the Rams. Gurley saw four targets in Week 2, a number likely to increase against the Browns, and with game script also favoring scoring opportunities, Gurley can be started as a high-end RB2 with potential for RB1 numbers.

by Andrew Fleischer

· Sep 13, 2019 · 4:06 PM EDT

LAR RB Todd Gurley - Week 2 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 2 vs. New Orleans Saints
If you had concerns about Gurley's usage for the 2019 season, Week 1 did nothing to assuage them. Gurley's 15 total touches were tied for 16th among running backs, and only one of them was a passing target. Malcolm Brown received all five of Los Angeles' red zone rushing attempts, and converted them into two touchdowns. If Gurley can remain healthy, he'll likely have some top 12 fantasy weeks moving forward, but they'll be difficult to predict with a reduced touch share.
The Rams face the Saints in Week 2, who allowed the Texans' backfield to rush for 180 yards in Week 1. The Rams averaged over 10 targets per game to their running backs in 2018, 84% of which went to Gurley.

Los Angeles targeted their backfield only once in Week 1, which is more likely a Week 1 aberration than a trend, so Gurley should be helped by an increase in targets. He's startable as an RB2 if he stays off the injury report, but don't count on high-end RB1 numbers from him moving forward with this kind of limited rushing volume and minimal red zone usage.

by Andrew Fleischer

· Sep 06, 2019 · 8:54 AM EDT

LAR RB Todd Gurley - Week 1 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 1 at Carolina Panthers

Todd Gurley finished off the 2018 on a sour note, after knee issues kept him from making significant contributions to the NFC Championship Game or the Super Bowl. Concern about the same injury pushed Gurley's ADP out of the first round of fantasy drafts, despite his fantasy RB2 overall finish last season.

If there is ever a time to start Gurley with confidence in 2019, Week 1 is it. Gurley is healthy and has had plenty of rest after being held out of preseason action entirely. He's up against a Panthers run defense that averaged the 12th-fewest rushing yards allowed per game in 2018, but Gurley's usage as a receiver should ensure a high floor. Vegas totals also project a high-scoring game, potentially increasing his scoring opportunity.

by Andrew Fleischer

· Jul 21, 2019 · 12:26 PM EDT

LAR RB Todd Gurley - 2019 Fantasy Football Outlook

Fantasy Upside

Todd Gurley missed the last two weeks of the 2018 regular season with knee swelling, and yet still finished with the second-most fantasy points among running backs in .5 PPR scoring formats. His 0.97 fantasy points per touch was tied with Alvin Kamara for the third-best mark among all running backs with at least 200 touches, and the offensive line in front of him is one of the best in the NFL.

Fantasy Downside
Gurley split touches with C.J. Anderson to start the playoffs before ceding the majority of the running duties to Anderson in the NFC Championship and the Super Bowl. Los Angeles then spent a 3rd-round pick in the 2019 draft on running back Darrell Henderson, even after matching an offer sheet to keep Malcolm Brown, followed by Gurley's trainer confirming an "arthritic component" to his knee issues. If the Rams have decided to ease Gurley's workload significantly, it would obviously torpedo his value at ADP.

2019 Bottom Line
Gurley's 2019 value is one of the most difficult to predict among all running backs. His upside if decreased usage concerns are overblown is that of a top three running back, while his downside if his injury limits him to part-time status is that of a complete bust at his second-round ADP . He's unlikely to suit up for any of the Rams' preseason contests, so his ADP should only decrease as the offseason rolls on, especially if Henderson flashes during that time, so it may be wise to wait as long as possible to draft him.

by Anthony Stalter

· Jan 11, 2019 · 12:39 PM EST

LAR RB Todd Gurley - Week 19 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 19 vs. Dallas Cowboys

Todd Gurley (knee) was removed from the Rams’ injury report for their Divisional Round matchup with the Cowboys. He missed the final two games of the season but has had three weeks to rest and coach Sean McVay said that Gurley “looks like the explosive, great back that we’re used to seeing.” The Cowboys have one of the more athletic front sevens in the league and ranked a respectable 12th versus fantasy running backs in 2018. Still, this is about volume, not matchup. Despite the Rams’ ability to move the ball through the air, McVay’s offense still runs through Gurley. Assuming he is fully healthy, Gurley makes for an excellent DFS play on Saturday night. He is projected to score 23.4 fantasy points in PPR formats.

by Anthony Stalter

· Dec 28, 2018 · 12:33 PM EST

LAR RB Todd Gurley - Week 17 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 17 vs. San Francisco 49ers

Todd Gurley was ruled out for Week 16 due to a knee injury and remained sidelined at Wednesday’s practice. He remains day-to-day with knee inflammation and if he doesn’t play, C.J. Anderson will be the workhorse again for the Rams. Anderson had 167 yards and a touchdown in his L.A. debut last week at Arizona and he would be an RB2 if Gurley doesn’t play Sunday against the 49ers.

by Anthony Stalter

· Dec 20, 2018 · 10:10 PM EST

LAR RB Todd Gurley - Week 16 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 16 at Arizona Cardinals

Todd Gurley rushed 12 times for 48 yards and two touchdowns while also catching 10-of-13 targets for 76 yards in the Rams’ Week 15 loss to the Eagles. Sean McVay inexcusably got away from Gurley in Chicago the week prior but made it a point to target his star back early and often against Philadelphia. Gurley did miss a series with a knee injury in the second half but returned to score a goal-line conversion. McVay said that Gurley is dealing with knee inflammation and his day-to-day, but he’s expected to play against the Cardinals on Sunday. Arizona ranks 23rd against fantasy running backs this season and Gurley, who is our RB2 for Week 16, is a must-start assuming he doesn’t suffer a setback before kickoff.