Tom Brady
  • Tom Brady

  • QB
  • ,
  • 47
  • 225 lbs
  • 6' 4"
  • Michigan
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Scouting report

by Steve Andress

NE QB Tom Brady - 2018 Fantasy Football Outlook

Fantasy Upside

He's the greatest quarterback of all time and has not shown any signs of slowing down. He's been a top-three quarterback in points per game for three consecutive seasons. Brady is as safe as they come as a top-five quarterback.

Fantasy Downside

The downside with Brady, as with any elite fantasy quarterback, is his value relative to cost. Brady's ADP means you'll likely have to spend a pick on him in the first five rounds, often earlier in casual leagues. In redraft leagues, he also showed some inconsistencies from his expected elite self last season, with nine fantasy weeks of less than 18 fantasy points.

2018 Bottom Line

Brady should be a lock to again finish as a top-five fantasy quarterback. The only question you must ask yourself is if you are okay with being thinner at RB and/or WR if you use the early pick required to take Brady.

by Steve Andress

NE QB Tom Brady - Week 21 Fantasy Football Outlook

Super Bowl vs. Philadelphia Eagles

The Patriots are the favorite in Vegas in Super Bowl LII. We project Brady for 18.4 points vs. just 14.5 for Nick Foles. But this week, those projections must be looked at compared to DFS price. Plus, pricing is different for this single-game slate. Based on our projections, Foles is a slightly better value on FanDuel and Brady over Foles on DraftKings. In terms of aFPA vs. QB rankings, both are facing similarly ranked defenses.

by Steve Andress

NE QB Tom Brady - Week 20 Fantasy Football Outlook

AFC Conference Championship vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

There is some mystery to how healthy Tom Brady is going into the conference championship game because of an apparent injury to his right hand. Reports out of New England range from Brady is okay to it will affect him slightly. Either way, all four quarterbacks this week face top-10 defenses in our aFPA vs. QB rankings, keeping Brady at the top of our overall rankings.

by Steve Andress

NE QB Tom Brady - Week 19 Fantasy Football Outlook

Divisional Round vs. Tennessee Titans

The Patriots have the highest implied team total as 14-point home favorites in Vegas this week, and that total is a fantasy juicy 31 points. The Titans are also just 17th in aFPA versus QBs. This is also a pass funnel defense as the Titans run defense finished fourth in the NFL. Alex Smith had almost 20 fantasy points against this defense in the Wild Card round. Tom Brady is in a spot where he could explode this week.

by Steve Andress

NE QB Tom Brady - Week 17 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 17 vs. New York Jets

The Patriots are still playing for home-field advantage this week, which makes their starters viable in fantasy for Week 17. The Patriots also have the highest implied team total in Vegas this week at 29 points. Start Tom Brady confidently in Week 17, as a high-end QB1.

by Steve Andress

NE QB Tom Brady - Week 16 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 16 vs. Buffalo Bills

The Patriots have the highest implied team total in Vegas this week at 29.5 points. However, the Bills defense is a run funnel, ranking seventh in aFPA versus QBs but dead last in aFPA versus RBs. In two of his past three games against the Bills, Tom Brady has failed to reach 14 fantasy points. He also has three straight games of poor fantasy performances coming into this week. It's really, really hard to do anything but start Tom Brady, though. Just hope he gets his points in the first half with perhaps a few more passes around the goal line with Rex Burkhead injured this week.

by Steve Andress

NE QB Tom Brady - Week 15 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 15 at Pittsburgh Steelers

Despite the loss in Miami last week, the Patriots are still favored in Pittsburgh with the second-highest implied team total in Vegas this week at 28.25 points. Brady has also torched the Steelers over the past two seasons for 9 touchdowns and 0 interceptions in three games (including playoffs). Don't overthink it this week after the dud last week. You are starting the GOAT.

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