2022 Fantasy Upside
Even in year 22, Tom Brady was able to set some new career highs last season. Brady set a new high in pass attempts (719) and passing yards (5,316). Brady has shined since joining Tampa Bay, finishing as QB3 last season and QB9 in 2020. The Bucs have mostly maintained their offense with strong weapons in Mike Evans and Chris Godwin. Tampa Bay also brought in WR Russell Gage, retained Leonard Fournette and drafted RB Rachaad White in the 3rd round. The Bucs also still have a strong offensive line, ranked 4th-best in the league by 4for4’s Justin Edwards.
2022 Fantasy Downside
While Godwin is still on the team, he suffered a torn ACL last season in Week 15 so it’s highly unlikely he’s healthy to start the year, and won’t return until around midseason. Star tight end Rob Gronkowski is also gone after he retired, and then there’s obviously the departure of Antonio Brown. While it hasn’t affected him yet, it is worth mentioning Brady’s age as he’ll be 45 at the start of the season. He also offers no additional help as a rusher, finishing with 81 yards on the ground last season.
2022 Bottom Line
This Bucs team will look a lot different in Week 1 of 2022 compared to 2021. At the start of last season, Brady had Evans, Godwin, Brown, and Gronkoswki. Three of those four won’t be there when the season kicks off. With such a change in personnel, it seems likely Tampa Bay won’t air it out quite as much. After all, 719 pass attempts is a lot. The Bucs threw the ball 56 more times than the 2nd-place team (Chiefs). We’re projecting a slight dropoff in production for Brady this season, but he’s still going to be a good option. He goes from being a top-five quarterback to more of a top-10 quarterback. His current ADP is on par with our rankings.