Tom Brady
  • Tom Brady

  • QB
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  • 225 lbs
  • 6' 4"
  • Michigan
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Scouting report

by Andrew Fleischer

NE QB Tom Brady - Week 12 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 12 vs Dallas Cowboys
Tom Brady faced the Eagles in Week 11 coming off of a Week 10 bye, but neither he nor the Patriots passing offense as a whole was able to take advantage of what appeared to be an inviting matchup. His 216-yard passing performance ranked him as the QB23 for the week, and the QB10 overall. Brady's receiving corps has undergone numerous changes through ten games, and New England's offensive line has been missing its starting center and left tackle through Week 11.

Brady will get left tackle Isaiah Wynn back for Week 12, which is a significant upgrade for New England's offensive line. Unfortunately, it appears that a minor injury will keep Mohamed Sanu from playing, leaving Julian Edelman and two rookie wide receivers in Jakobi Meyers and N'Keal Harry as the starting trio. Brady will face a Cowboys defense that's been about league-average in aFPA to quarterbacks but has a strong secondary and above-average pass rush. Wynn's return might be more of a boost for the Patriots rushing attack than its passing game this week. Brady's still startable as a QB1 but close to the bottom of that tier against Dallas.

by Andrew Fleischer

NE QB Tom Brady - Week 11 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 11 at Philadephia Eagles
Prior to his Week 10 bye, Tom Brady went up against a Ravens defense in Week 9 that leads the NFL in blitz percentage at 49.4%. Baltimore pressured Brady heavily, and it worked extremely well, limiting him to 285 total yards with a touchdown and an interception despite 46 pass attempts (his highest total in a game this season). Brady finished as Week 9's QB20, and following the Patriots' bye, he ranks as the fantasy QB10 overall.

The Patriots face the Philadelphia Eagles in Week 11, a team whose defense blitzes significantly less frequently than the Ravens, and yet pressures opposing quarterbacks at a higher rate. Fortunately for Brady, the Eagles also own a sub-par secondary, and their 17.7 aFPA to quarterbacks is the 12th-most. Brady also has all of his offensive weapons healthy and at his disposal, with red-zone weapon N'Keal Harry expected to see his first snaps of the season and Mohamed Sanu having had five full weeks of practice with which to integrate himself into the Patriots' offense. Against an Eagles team that is far more effective at defending against the run than the pass, expect a Patriots game plan to avoid Philadelphia's strength defensively and attack its weakness, making Brady a good bet for a QB1 performance.

by Andrew Fleischer

NE QB Tom Brady - Week 9 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 9 at Baltimore Ravens
Tom Brady faced a strong Cleveland pass rush in Week 8 and managed a solid 18.4 fantasy points, good for a QB12 standing for a week, and it nudged his overall fantasy ranking up to QB6. 59 of Brady's 259 passing yards were a result of two 20-plus yard passes, and he's now tenth in yardage resulting from deep throws and tied for fourth with five deep passing touchdowns. Brady's highest concentration of targets is still within five yards, but he can take advantage of deep opportunities when they're available.

Brady faces a decent Baltimore Ravens defense in Week 9, but they've been more forgiving to opposing quarterbacks than you might expect. Their 15.9 aFPA to quarterbacks is 16th in the league, and Kyler Murray, Patrick Mahomes, and Baker Mayfield have all thrown for 340-plus yards against this defense. The Ravens have limited rushing effectively, with a 12th-lowest aFPA to running backs of 22.9, which makes a pass-heavy game plan from Josh McDaniels likely. With his full complement of receivers healthy, and another week to get Mohamed Sanu integrated into the offense, Brady is a great bet for another QB1 performance in Baltimore.

by Andrew Fleischer

NE QB Tom Brady - Week 8 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 8 vs Cleveland Browns
Tom Brady had a decent game in Week 7 against the Jets, but it was forgettable for fantasy purposes, as he finished as the fantasy QB19 after throwing for 249 yards alongside a touchdown and an interception. He now stands as the QB8 through seven weeks, and it appears as though the Patriots will continue to lean on the passing game moving forward.

Brady lost a top weapon with Josh Gordon being placed on IR but gained a new receiving option when the Patriots traded for Mohamed Sanu. Given Gordon's recent injury-hampered performance and Sanu's versatility, which makes him an obvious fit in New England's offense, the move should be a net-positive for Brady. The Browns 19.8 aFPA to quarterbacks is the seventh-highest figure, making Brady a surefire QB1 for Week 8.

by Andrew Fleischer

NE QB Tom Brady - Week 7 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 7 at New York Jets
In a Week 6 matchup with the Giants in which Tom Brady and the Patriots offense were understandably expected to dominate wire-to-wire, Brady's fantasy performance was uninspiring. His Week 6 finish as the QB7 was nice for his fantasy owners, but it was two goal-line-quarterback-sneak rushing touchdowns that elevated his final score and papered over his zero passing touchdowns alongside an interception. Brady likely missed Phillip Dorsett as a receiving option and losing both wide receiver and fullback Jakob Johnson in-game limited the offense's offensive playcalling.

Fortunately for Brady, the Patriots follow up their Thursday night game with a Monday night matchup with the Jets, giving both Dorsett and Gordon time to recover from minor injuries, with both appearing likely to start on Monday. New England also re-signed tight end Benjamin Watson, giving Brady a much more robust receiving corps than he's had in the past few weeks. The Week 7 matchup with the Jets is a challenging one, especially with the return of linebacker C.J. Mosley, and the Jets have allowed the 10th-fewest aFPA to opposing quarterbacks during Mosley's absence, but Brady did finish as the QB12 in Week 3 against this Jets squad. He remains startable as a QB1 this week.

by Andrew Fleischer

NE QB Tom Brady - Week 6 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 6 vs New York Giants
While the Patriots struggled offensively in the first half of their Week 5 matchup with Washington, Tom Brady ultimately took advantage of a soft Washington pass defense to throw for 348 yards and three touchdowns. He was the fantasy QB6 for Week 5, and he's now the QB7 overall for the season. Once Phillip Dorsett returns from injury, Brady has a strong top trio of wide receivers in Julian Edelman, Josh Gordon, and Phillip Dorsett along with pass-catching running back James White. Rumors abound about the Patriots making a trade to bolster their receiving corps, so how much longer can this party last for the quarterback you probably drafted in round ten?

Well, it should certainly last at least one more week, with the Patriots welcoming the New York Giants to Foxborough. The Giants have allowed 21.4 aFPA to quarterbacks through five weeks, sixth-most in the NFL. Quarterbacks facing them have finished as the fantasy QB2, QB7, QB5, QB32, and QB9 in Weeks 1-5 respectively, and the outlier QB32 in Week 4 was actually rookie Dwayne Haskins relieving an ineffective Case Keenum halfway through the game. Brady may or may not have Dorsett at his disposal on Sunday, but should Dorsett sit, the Patriots will have a game plan utilizing their available pass catchers, and perhaps Jakobi Meyers will see his volume rise. Brady is a no doubt QB1 start in Week 6.

by Andrew Fleischer

NE QB Tom Brady - Week 5 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 5 at Washington Redskins
Tom Brady had one of his worst games in quite some time against the Bills in Week 4, completing less than 50% of his passes for 150 yards, no touchdowns, and an interception. He was Week 4's fantasy QB27, a finish that dropped him to the QB13 overall through four weeks. This isn't a shocking development, given that the Bills are allowing just 11.6 aFPA to quarterbacks, third-lowest. Fear not; better times are ahead.

Brady will line up against the Washington defense on Sunday, and he will probably like what he sees. Washington is allowing 20.9 aFPA to quarterbacks, sixth-most through Week 4. Only one opposing quarterback hasn't thrown exactly three touchdowns against the Washington defense, and that was Daniel Jones last week in just his second rookie start. Washington is 16th in aFPA to running backs at 23.5, giving the slight edge to a pass-oriented Patriots game plan. Of course, Washington will be starting an as-yet-undecided quarterback against a New England defense that's allowing the fewest aFPA to quarterbacks, so Brady might score the majority of his fantasy points in the first half before the offense transitions more toward the running game in the second half to protect a likely lead. Even so, consider him a safe QB1 for Week 5.

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